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Mini for Steaming Antlers
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/9632688097
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199044897916#!/compare/1609372800/1609804800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173925222#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200
Untrace
Item 2
https://backpack.tf/item/8935058897
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199029568303#!/compare/1609459200/1609545600
https://gladiator.tf/listings/5ff0bc632fc434abd9a9162f - buyout 23 keys
Keys match from Merendas
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3005 - taking it as 23 keys
Item 3
https://backpack.tf/item/8877190832
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046242806#!/compare/1607904000/1607990400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216241727#!/compare/1607904000/1607990400
Sold for 22 keys
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216241727#!/compare/1608076800/1608163200
https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fdb68cbff35ec8385ce2cf6
Buyout of 23 keys
Taking 23 keys, was either a Merendas or Erik purchase
Sale 5
Sold on MP
Item 4[/u]
https://backpack.tf/item/7951041276
Sale 6
https://gladiator.tf/listings/60020b3de7e5a32a134e26d3 - buyout 24 keys
Taking 24 keys
[b]Item 5
https://backpack.tf/item/7560814271
Sale 7
https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fd873f48c73df8134048949 - buyout 23 keys
Taking 23 keys
Item 6
https://backpack.tf/item/7490332903
Sale 8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872480703#!/compare/1611360000/1611619200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1611532800/1611619200
Untrace
Item 7
https://backpack.tf/item/6375433136
Sale 9
Listed on Mannco
Item 8
https://backpack.tf/item/4124870699
Sale 10
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1609113600/1609200000
https://gladiator.tf/listings/5feb2949e768090b772e953c - buyout 23 keys
Taking 23 keys
Item 8
https://backpack.tf/item/3491753605
Sale 11
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1608336000/1608422400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098694108#!/compare/1608336000/1608422400
Sold for 22 keys 11 ref
Sale 12
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098694108#!/compare/1609891200/1609977600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181362526#!/compare/1609891200/1609977600
Sold for 23 keys
Item 9
https://backpack.tf/item/3041919305
Sale 13
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082483545#!/compare/1608422400/1609372800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186922501#!/compare/1609113600/1609372800
Bulk
Sale 14
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186922501#!/compare/1609891200/1610064000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448065474#!/compare/1609545600/1610064000
Sold for 25 keys
Sale 15
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448065474#!/compare/1611705600/1611878400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1611619200/1611705600
12.88 ref matches
https://gladiator.tf/listings/60126b40ba6e72c4cb7e5a51
Seems to have been 21 keys buy order
Sale 16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174084635#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800
Untrace
Marketplace sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3005
Dec 25th - $59.99 / $2.13 = 28.16 keys
Dec 26th - $59.99 / $2.15 = 27.90 keys
Jan 8th - $59.99 / $2.12 = 28.30 keys
Sales
23, 22, 23, 24, 23, 23, 22, 23, 25, 21, 28, 28, 28
1x21
2x22
5x23
1x24
1x25
3x28
Current Listings
https://prnt.sc/yu5lwj
Seller at 26.5 keys
Seller at 30 keys
Buyers at 22.47 keys
Excluding anything that is 22 and under
Going with 23 - 28 keys here
Out of the 10 non-whitelist sales, half of them were made by whitelisted users to mark up in value on marketplace.
Taking out the whitelisted purchases which may or may not have happened naturally, we are left with:
1x21
2x22
1x23
1x25
This calls into question the legitimacy of pricing this at 23 - 28 keys
I just provide sales and proof but this will be a recurring issue and I hope rules will get put in place regarding whitelisted sales since they almost always do not represent the items current market value. Which has been further exaggerated in the past couple months.
Going with 23 - 28 keys, thanks if you read all of that, I tried to make it as clear as possible
Criticism appreciated.