Price Suggestion
~17 keys
Unusual Horseless Headless Horsemann's Headtaker
84 votes up
24 votes down
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Comments

How is this still priced at 7.75 Keys, wut?


Gladiator stats:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Unusual%20Horseless%20Headless%20Horsemann%27s%20Headtaker


Ignoring the random 19 Key and 30 Key trades (assuming spelled). Past 30 Days range is 9 Keys 25 Ref - 12 Key.


Sold Jan 21st on mannco store at 40 USD, mannco keys 1.90 at time of suggestion:

https://mannco.store/item/5826

40 / 1.9 = 21.05 Keys.

Well out of the norm, doesn't match trade stats or buyer/seller range.


*Adding in marketplace sales noted by Offline. Thought I put them in but apparently not lol*

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/266;5


Marketplace consistently sells this for $26.90 to $27.99, which ends around 12.5-13 keys, but with the number of sellers at 12, I think 10-12 is already a good range.


https://gyazo.com/f2026224f1b72d8f21f911cc27166497

*Source - user: Offline


Premium search doesn't work for the item:

https://backpack.tf/premium/search?item=Horseless%20Headless%20Horsemann%27s%20Headtaker&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0


So going off of the history of what is listed.

Trade 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111389337#!/compare/1612828800/1612915200


Trade 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024215551#!/compare/1608076800/1611619200


Pretty sure this is a bot dump, Dec 21st 2020:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046700393?time=1608579970

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997262912#!/compare/1606435200/1608508800


Trade 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078552523#!/compare/1612396800/1612483200


Trade 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198187767515#!/compare/1612396800/1612483200


Trade 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080394134#!/compare/1607644800/1607731200


Trade 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101483088#!/compare/1612396800/1612742400


Trade 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199104457222#!/compare/1612310400/1612396800


Trade 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098694108#!/compare/1611619200/1611705600


Trade 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128182851#!/compare/1612828800/1612915200


This looks like a sale of an entire backpack or a bot dump:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198833491066#!/compare/1609286400/1609891200


That should be pretty much all the trades I can find, if I missed any then my bad. Might have missed 1 or 2.


Only 3 sales were below 10 Keys; 9 Keys 25 Ref, 25.66, and 45 Ref. So I am rounding up to 10 Keys as minimum range.

    Some of the gladiator.tf sales are mine, I can testify that 10-12 is an appropriate range here.


    https://gyazo.com/510bb23c5a9f10b8c656a32c178b6952

    6 sales from 11 to 12 keys, bot bought got a couple for under 10 keys in December, but buyers now have increased.


    https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/266;5

    Marketplace consistently sells this for $26.90 to $27.99, which ends around 12.5-13 keys, but with the number of sellers at 12, I think 10-12 is already a good range.

    https://gyazo.com/f2026224f1b72d8f21f911cc27166497


    Upvote from me.

      Oh woops, thought I noted marketplace sales. apparently I didn't. Should still be within an hour so I'll pop those sales in. Thanks for catching that lol

      Looks like there is currently 4 buy orders at just over 10 Keys, should I maybe close this suggestion and make a new one?

      if using glad.tf proof please take a screenshot of the stats as that data is always changing. since Offline provided a screenshot of sales at your range this will be fine but it's worth noting for future suggestions