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Resuggestion, thx to multiple people (I'll mention them when I show their help)
Marketplace.tf sale (untraceable history): https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/17236;5;u702;w3;pk236
February 8: $149.99/2.13=70.42 ~70 keys
(Credit to Offline) Item history: https://backpack.tf/item/9715243012
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126201253#!/compare/1610668800/1611100800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064658655#!/compare/1611014400/1611100800
https://gyazo.com/102a6cc198943a64b2c44204a0ff40fd
Bought for 40 keys buy order
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199100906514#!/compare/1612483200/1612569600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064658655#!/compare/1612483200/1612569600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1612483200/1612569600
https://gyazo.com/707f90919b00038de577919c4cc1088a
Sold in bulk to Erik, and Erik sold it on Marketplace
(Credit to aj) https://backpack.tf/item/9366917143
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1612828800/1612915200
Buyout of 70 keys: https://prnt.sc/ywcury
This sale is PE Bat Hat + 30 keys
(Credit to BlazingHailfire for the screenshot) https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/774732818529255455/810171330359459890/unknown.png
PE Bat Hat mini (mean of 32.5 ~33 keys): https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60280944d367133efe2378c3
30+33=63 keys, doesn't cap the buyout
Sales at 40, 63, 70
40 was dumped to a buy order, going 63-70
i just noticed a mistake: the Marketplzce.tf sale isn't untraceable, it's actually Erik's sale in Offline's history