Yet here I am, spending my afternoon and evening flicking through the low tier Translators.

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/9482390571

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272914846#!/compare/1605571200/1605657600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156733777#!/compare/1605571200/1605657600

Untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156733777#!/compare/1605571200/1605657600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063372917#!/compare/1605225600/1605657600

Untrace

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063372917#!/compare/1605225600/1605657600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155386309#!/compare/1605571200/1605657600

Untrace

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155386309#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020281713#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000

Untrace

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020281713#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999873164#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000

19.11 ref matches

Sale 6

Sold on Mannco

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/9217674746

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199007918080#!/compare/1609891200/1610582400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1610496000/1610582400

Untrace

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1611100800/1611187200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065368279#!/compare/1611100800/1611187200

Bulky, excluding

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065368279#!/compare/1611532800/1611705600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101442624#!/compare/1611446400/1611878400

1 key matches

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101442624#!/compare/1612742400/1612915200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198247624648#!/compare/1612828800/1612915200

Untrace, 14 keys do leave buyers inventory

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/9080982745

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198800100378#!/compare/1606521600/1607472000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169488443#!/compare/1602460800/1607644800

Untrace

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/9006711785

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1606262400/1606348800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197968633696#!/compare/1606262400/1606348800

Untrace

Sale 13

Sold on MP

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/8998196274

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282674729#!/compare/1604966400/1607558400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199106217370#!/compare/1607472000/1607558400

1 key 22.44 ref matches

Missing stuff, excluding

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199106217370#!/compare/1609027200/1609113600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199042606700#!/compare/1609113600/1609200000

Untrace

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/8832563288

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260860925#!/compare/1606262400/1606348800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198451868133#!/compare/1606262400/1606348800

Sold for 10 keys

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198451868133#!/compare/1606262400/1606348800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1606262400/1606348800

Sold for 12 keys 16.33 ref

Taking 12 keys

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1607126400/1607299200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199035581360#!/compare/1607126400/1607299200

Untrace

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199035581360#!/compare/1607472000/1607558400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1607385600/1607472000

Sold for 12 keys

Sale 20

Sold on Mannco

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198315352308#!/compare/1609200000/1609718400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043444428#!/compare/1609718400/1609804800

Untrace

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043444428#!/compare/1609977600/1610064000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198403706199#!/compare/1609891200/1610064000

Sold for 12 keys 12 ref and a scraphat

Taking 12 keys

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198403706199#!/compare/1610496000/1610668800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372122738#!/compare/1610668800/1611100800

Sold for 13 keys

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/8796488950

Sale 24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1607212800/1607299200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197968633696#!/compare/1606953600/1607299200

Moved back to owner

Sale 25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197968633696#!/compare/1606953600/1607299200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827673127#!/compare/1606780800/1608940800

Sold on MP

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/8716785757

Sale 26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199070403543#!/compare/1612483200/1612569600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102451836#!/compare/1612483200/1612569600

Sold for 13 keys 25 ref

Taking 13 keys here

Sale 27

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102451836#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199104457222#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000

Redumped

Sale 28

Moved to owner

Sale 29

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334860631#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199107865875#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

Sold for 9 keys 10 ref

Missing stuff, excluding

tem 9

https://backpack.tf/item/8674092287

Sale 30

Sold on MP

Sale 31

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198333311272#!/compare/1612224000/1612310400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1612224000/1612310400

Bulky, is an item trade with qs,store, so excluding

Sale 32

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1612828800/1612915200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145120782#!/compare/1612828800/1612915200

Sold for:

Kill-a-Watt Elf Esteem

5 keys 3 ref

Buy orders on the Elf are ~7 keys

Sale is ~12 keys ish, no buyout as far as I could check

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/8534496467

Sale 33

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199018021198#!/compare/1606608000/1606694400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199000408579#!/compare/1604102400/1608681600

Untrace

Sale 34

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199000408579#!/compare/1604102400/1608681600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1608595200/1608681600

Untrace

Sale 35

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1609372800/1609545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1609286400/1609372800

Untrace

Sale 36

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1610928000/1611014400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101483088#!/compare/1610928000/1611360000

Untrace

Sale 37

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101483088#!/compare/1611446400/1611705600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841316062#!/compare/1611532800/1612051200

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841316062#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101484822#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600

https://prnt.sc/ze5lrz

Sold for 12 keys 34 ref

Taking 13 keys

Sale 38

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101484822#!/compare/1612396800/1612483200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302762288#!/compare/1612396800/1612483200

https://prnt.sc/ze5pn0

Sold for 14 keys

Sale 39

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302762288#!/compare/1612483200/1612569600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099101053#!/compare/1612396800/1612483200

Sold for 13 keys 22 ref

Taking 13 keys

Sale 40

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099101053#!/compare/1612742400/1612828800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098694108#!/compare/1612656000/1612828800

Untrace

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/8422882006

Sale 41

Sold on MP

Item 12

https://backpack.tf/item/7840085268

Sale 42

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071896910#!/compare/1612137600/1612915200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102407070#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600

28 ref matches

Item 13

https://backpack.tf/item/7558015307

Sale 43

Sold on MP

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30658;5;u94

Nov 17th - $27.95 / $1.77 = 15.79 keys

Nov 27th - $27.67 / $1.76 = 15.72 keys

Dec 3rd - $27.67 / $1.76 = 15.72 keys

Dec 5th - $25.28 / $1.76 = 14.36 keys

Dec 5th - $19 / $1.76 = 10.80 keys

Dec 8th - $26.66 / $1.76 = 15.15 keys

Dec 9th - $26.9 / $1.78 = 15.11 keys

Dec 16th - $26.4 / $2.02 = 13.07 keys

Dec 24th - $28.4 / $2.10 = 13.52 keys

Dec 26th - $29.5 / $2.15 = 13.72 keys

Jan 28th - $33.99 / $2.10 = 16.19 keys

Mannco sales

https://mannco.store/item/9412

Dec 9th - $23.31 / $1.56 = 14.94 keys

Dec 24th - $23.2 / $1.74 = 13.33 keys

Jan 6th - $27.76 / $1.86 = 14.92 keys

Avg key price for Dec 9th:

Dec 3rd - 1.58

Dec 4th - 1.56

Dec 5th - 1.56

Dec 6th - 1.56

Dec 7th - 1.56

Dec 8th - 1.55

Dec 9th - 1.55

Avg key price for Dec 9th - 10.92 / 7 = 1.56

Avg key price for Dec 24th:

Dec 21st - 1.67

Dec 22nd - 1.67

Dec 23rd - 1.68

Dec 24th - 1.72

Dec 25th - 1.8

Dec 26th - 1.81

Dec 27th - 1.81

Avg key price for Dec 24th - 12.16 / 7 = 1.74

Avg key price for Jan 6th:

Jan 3rd - 1.88

Jan 4th - 1.87

Jan 5th - 1.87

Jan 6th - 1.84

Jan 7th - 1.84

Jan 8th - 1.86

Jan 9th - 1.86

Avg key price for Jan 6th - 13.02 / 7 = 1.86

Sales

10, 12, 12, 12, 13, 13, 13, 14, 13, 16, 16, 16, 14, 11, 15, 15, 13, 14, 14, 16, 15, 13, 15

Sales but ordered

10, 11, 12, 12, 12, 13, 13, 13, 13, 13, 13, 14, 14, 14, 14, 15, 15, 15, 15, 16, 16, 16, 16

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/zefd5s

Sellers at ~14 keys

Buyers at ~12.2 keys

Concluding thoughts

Considering the current market, any sales under 12 should probably be excluded

Taking a look at the market in the past week:

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60207857889a52969f710b1e

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6021566c142b4f1111775274

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6022f4576497c7697ada5d96

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60244ea2cc26704fe5943438

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60257e47072121b9b1f8fa57

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6026cc10fd48768d54e29d4f

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6027bbe9fe51dc84cdfb2bbb

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60284593f989603baa2cf297

Non-mp market at 14 keys for a while

Going with 13 - 14 keys here, thanks Shuffle for the advice!

Any and all criticism is appreciated.