Resuggestion, thx Xergoyf

History 1: https://backpack.tf/item/8646781993

Tradebacks

History 2: https://backpack.tf/item/6499340409

1 key + Strange Phlog + Schadenfreude

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198364487810#!/compare/1606867200/1606953600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095688230#!/compare/1606867200/1606953600

Phlog was around 18.33-18.44 ref, ~0.3 keys at the time of this sale https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fd36880f00b5037f26298e2

Schadenfreude was around 2.25-2.3 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fb6f7ce008b7f30320c56f1

1+0.3+2.28=3.58 ~3.6 keys

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095688230#!/compare/1606867200/1606953600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062329277#!/compare/1606867200/1606953600

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062329277#!/compare/1606953600/1607212800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1607126400/1607212800

3 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1610236800/1610323200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136401226#!/compare/1610236800/1610323200

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136401226#!/compare/1610582400/1610755200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1610668800/1610755200

History 3: https://backpack.tf/item/5191608616

Untraceable, most likely before it was unusualified:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080394134#!/compare/1604016000/1604102400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079385116#!/compare/1553990400/1605225600

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079385116#!/compare/1606176000/1606262400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199093430979#!/compare/1606089600/1606262400

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199093430979#!/compare/1606262400/1606348800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102484730#!/compare/1606435200/1606608000

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102484730#!/compare/1606867200/1607126400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198299922978#!/compare/1607040000/1607299200

History 4: https://backpack.tf/item/4478359053

Marketplace.tf sale

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074560443#!/compare/1604361600/1604534400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150894113#!/compare/1604361600/1604448000

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150894113#!/compare/1604534400/1605571200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253820163#!/compare/1604016000/1604620800

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253820163#!/compare/1604620800/1606608000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023051867#!/compare/1606521600/1606608000

Marketplace.tf sale again

History 5: https://backpack.tf/item/2827591655

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152743343#!/compare/1604188800/1604361600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1604188800/1604275200

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1606780800/1606867200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259394694#!/compare/1606780800/1608249600

Marketplace.tf sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1119;5;u3047

December 7: $9.99/1.76=5.68 ~5.7 keys

December 7: $5.83/1.76=3.31 ~3.3 keys

January 15: $9.99/2.11=4.73 ~4.75 keys

From Xergoyf:

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fd5441caaf2e8fc50bf7172 - Schuadenfrude was likely less at the time of the sale, this isn't exact since no snapshot but its closer than the november suggestion. = ~1.85 + pholg + key = ~ 3.15-3.2ish.

Buyers up to 3.23 now.

I don't really like this range, low-end is too low and high-end feels like an outlier. Maybe just 3.3 flat with 2 outliers on each end?