Mini for Kill-a-Watt Company Man

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/7957579574

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109057989#!/compare/1611014400/1611100800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195205727#!/compare/1610928000/1611014400

Bought off SCM

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195205727#!/compare/1611532800/1611619200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800

0.77 ref matches

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1611619200/1611705600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007376857#!/compare/1611100800/1611705600

2 keys match

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/7956443435

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198845209577#!/compare/1607299200/1607385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198971632394#!/compare/1607212800/1610236800

Untrace

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/7955853634

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199025403420#!/compare/1607472000/1607644800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085413265#!/compare/1600732800/1607644800

Untrace

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085413265#!/compare/1607644800/1607731200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088804174#!/compare/1607558400/1607731200

Sold for 13 keys

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088804174#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216565523#!/compare/1607558400/1607731200

These match:

Strange Specialized Killstreak Festive Flare Gun

Strange Festivized Specialized Killstreak Bazaar Bargain

Strange Specialized Killstreak Conniver's Kunai

~8 keys in items

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216565523#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199002037805#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

Sold alongside:

Aces High Big Country

for

Kill-a-Watt Company Man

Using there

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199002037805#!/compare/1608508800/1608595200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1608422400/1608508800

6 ref matches

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102407070#!/compare/1609286400/1609372800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198887335583#!/compare/1609200000/1610409600

Sold for 8 keys 30 ref

Taking 8.5 keys

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/4100915213

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202111664#!/compare/1611100800/1611187200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204215085#!/compare/1611100800/1611187200

Bulk for Twinkling Lights Taunt: Mannrobics

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204215085#!/compare/1611532800/1611705600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800

Sold for 7 keys 18.66 ref

Taking 7.5 keys

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/3847519791

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199025403420#!/compare/1607644800/1607731200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085413265#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

Untrace

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/2737770374

Sale 14

Excluding trades to and from tftrade.ru

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316462479#!/compare/1608422400/1609718400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1609632000/1609718400

Untrace

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1610064000/1610150400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198414784304#!/compare/1610064000/1610150400

14 ref matches

Sales

13, 8, 8.5, 7.5

Going back 3 months

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/3847519791

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116046221#!/compare/1604188800/1604448000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1602892800/1604361600

Bulk for Bubbling Gibus

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1604361600/1604534400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115594676#!/compare/1603929600/1604534400

Sold for 10 keys

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115594676#!/compare/1604534400/1604793600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008020901#!/compare/1604448000/1604534400

Bulk for Bubbling Gibus

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008020901#!/compare/1604534400/1604793600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1604707200/1604793600

Sold for:

Orbiting Fire Trash Man

Non-Craftable Tour of Duty Ticket - 0.5 key

Sale 5

Auction untrace

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287043215#!/compare/1604966400/1605139200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115594676#!/compare/1604793600/1604966400

Sold for 10 keys

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115594676#!/compare/1605830400/1605916800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173442901#!/compare/1605744000/1605830400

Bulk

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173442901#!/compare/1605916800/1606003200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1605830400/1605916800

Sold for 9 keys 35 ref

Taking 9.5 keys

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1606694400/1606780800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199025403420#!/compare/1606521600/1606694400

Untrace

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/2737770374

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355520251#!/compare/1604188800/1604275200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178273738#!/compare/1604188800/1604275200

Sold alongside some small ref sweets for 9 keys, one of the keys do not match

Taking 9 keys

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178273738#!/compare/1604275200/1604361600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156845599#!/compare/1604016000/1604361600

Sold alongside 25 ref for 9 keys

Taking 8.5 keys

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156845599#!/compare/1604448000/1604793600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199013195045#!/compare/1604793600/1604880000

Sold for:

2 keys

A lot of painted items ;-;

Idk how to mini all of those, seems kind of low too

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199013195045#!/compare/1604793600/1604880000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001673221#!/compare/1604793600/1604880000

Untrace

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001673221#!/compare/1604793600/1604880000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101633918#!/compare/1604880000/1611014400

Untrace

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101633918#!/compare/1605312000/1605484800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1605398400/1605484800

Untrace

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/436;5;u61

Nov 19th - $20.99 / $1.75 = 11.99 keys

Sales

10, 10, 9.5, 9, 8.5, 12

Overall sales

13, 8, 8.5, 7.5, 10, 10, 9.5, 9, 8.5, 12

Sales but ordered

7.5, 8, 8.5, 8.5, 9, 9.5, 10, 10, 12, 13

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/xty5py

3 day at 9 keys

2 days at 12 keys

Buyers at 7.5 keys

Taking 8 - 10 keys here

Thanks Xerg:

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6019ef4639667d7cfd03cabb

https://backpack.tf/item/4100915213

new sale at likely ~9

Buyers up close to 9 keys now. I think your low end is slightly low here, the 8 key sale is also probably slightly higher given item valuations. I would be fine with 8.5 or 9 as the low-end here.

I suppose the 8 key sale is undervalued given I took current values for the items since the sale was old enough to not have gladiator stats for them.

Taking 8.5 – 10 keys here