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History 1: https://backpack.tf/item/8212908955
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197992703391#!/compare/1606262400/1606348800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198348989580#!/compare/1608076800/1609891200
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198348989580#!/compare/1609891200/1611705600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181015431#!/compare/1605916800/1610064000
History 2: https://backpack.tf/item/8178844296
Marketplace.tf sale
History 3: https://backpack.tf/item/4794461259
Bulk for the Stormy 13th Hour Conquistador:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838788284#!/compare/1613260800/1613347200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142129821#!/compare/1613260800/1613347200
It was then quicksold to Erik then he listed it on marketplace.tf https://imgur.com/xW9lTvv (credit to Erik for giving me the info)
Marketplace.tf sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30618;5;u3027
November 30: $12.95/1.76=7.36 ~7.5 keys
December 4: $18/1.76=10.23 ~10 keys
December 31: $24.99/2.14=11.68 ~12 keys
Unsolds: 2 on marketplace.tf at $24.99/2.09=11.96 keys
Sales at 7.5, 10 and 12
10-12 seems like the most common trading point with 7.5 being a lower outlier and also the oldest sale, Gonna stick with 10-12 for now
Oof, 2 sellers at 9 appeared, maybe 10-12 was the outlier after all :/. Will wait for a mod comment before resuggesting
Couple of sellers at 7.5 - may need some more info here but 10 and 12 seem high now
New sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/8212908955
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181015431#!/compare/1613260800/1615075200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850895547#!/compare/1613692800/1614038400
https://backpack.tf/item/5265175810
Bulk:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016430067#!/compare/1611792000/1611878400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1611792000/1611878400
Listed on Marketplace.tf
https://backpack.tf/item/4794461259
Bulk for the Stormy 13th Hour Conquistador:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838788284#!/compare/1613260800/1613347200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142129821#!/compare/1613260800/1613347200
Erik must've bought it the same day and instantly deposited to Marketplace.tf:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142129821#!/compare/1613347200/1613433600
The two Erik bought are listed at $29.99 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30618;5;u3027 (~14.42 keys)
Looks like nothing really usable here. Going 7.5 flat when two higher sales happened doesn't sound that reasonable imo. Shall we just leave this outdated for now or you think a conservative raise to 7.5 might work? The sellers have only been at 7.5 for like a week. However looking through snapshots they've been unsuccessful below 10-12 too, plus the sale at 7.5 is from November...
Honestly I would wait for the market to settle before updating this
I agree with you tbh. Everything seems all over the place and raising with a sale from November won't make much sense. I'll keep an eye on the current sellers and see if anything sells. After all, the current range more or less supports the current classies anyway