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Giving this a try, why not.
Gladiator stats:
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Orbiting%20Planets%20Shoestring%20Santa
1 bought at 16 Keys 35 Ref
Marketplace:
no activity, cannot even find a marketplace page
Mannco:
no activity, no items listed with this effect
-- Item 1 --
Trade 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1614038400/1614124800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111271528#!/compare/1613260800/1614124800 // seller
pretty unclear, item not showing up in seller bp
Trade 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053700606#!/compare/1614038400/1614124800
Orbiting Planets shoestring and 8 Keys for Cool Festivized Igloo Shotgun (Battle Scarred) priced at 30 keys
30 - 8 = 22 Keys
Trade 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128620418#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053700606#!/compare/1612656000/1613001600
For some reason the item isnt appearing, not sure what is happening.
Trade 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108716961#!/compare/1612224000/1613260800
Looks like this is a deposit into a bot or maybe a steam sale. might be why the item is not appearing in the above bp's.
-- Item 2 --
Trade 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198411348668#!/compare/1611273600/1611532800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970869719#!/compare/1611360000/1611446400 // ternoz
Hmm. At first looked like a 36 key trade, but after looking at ternoz bp, I think this is either a scm sale/third party sale, or maybe bot owner moving items. Ternoz obtained 2 different Shoestring Santa's at the same time so I am thinking scm sale
-- Item 3 --
no trades
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Well, looks like the range is 16-22 Keys. Easy peasy
Any suggestions or adjustements are appreciated.
compare for the gladiator sale:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128620418#!/compare/1612137600/1612224000
The shotgun is not actually priced at 30 keys, so it needs a mini:
Mini for the shotgun:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1611964800/1612051200
Sold for 30 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988330806#!/compare/1613174400/1613260800
Sold for 22 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142264197#!/compare/1613260800/1613347200
Sold for 23 keys
Taking 22 - 30 as the mini
Which makes this 16 - 18 keys
Ah gotcha, guess I should have looked a bit deeper into the shotgun trades. I'll make a new suggestion
Oh and also thanks for the insight and investigation of course