Suggestion: Purple Energy A Rather Festive Tree at 45–48 keys

Sold for 2 Spec KS Australium Rocket Launchers (~82). I can't find this trade anymore so more info about this one is much appreciated. Excluding this for now.

(72.5+84+86)/3=80.83

rounding to 81

Therefore 81-33=48 for tree sale 2.

Considering that tree sale 2 was on bp.tf for around 2 months, and there's still one at 46 unsold for 24 days, 48 seems a bit high. However, there are many buy orders at around 43, I think 48 is still in a reasonable range, so taking 45-48 as the final result.

More useful info is always appreciated.

I'm not particularly comfortable with ranging using a bulky-ish sale to set a high end here on the tree.

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/10ar53v

Jarool unsold at 46 keys for 24 days

https://gladiator.tf/listings/603ce569424976b37b0a9037 - buyout for the dbd ke sale was 48 keys

I also would not use the duped sale to range this since there are clean sales, albeit, a bulky sale.

Couple more sales:

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/1116541313

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139370347#!/compare/1608508800/1608595200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092048287#!/compare/1608422400/1608768000

Sold for 43 keys 45 ref

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fe13ff58999edc953e1af93 - buyout 44 keys 60 ref

Taking 44 keys here

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092048287#!/compare/1608768000/1609372800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1608681600/1608768000

0.11 ref matches

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1608854400/1608940800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084860572#!/compare/1608940800/1609200000

Only 30 keys match

Excluding this one, probably missing stuff

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/907974643

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031341129#!/compare/1606780800/1607040000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254279766#!/compare/1606953600/1607040000

Sold alongside 2 keys for:

Haunted Ghosts Winter Woodsman

Which needs a mini

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254279766#!/compare/1607040000/1607212800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065504881#!/compare/1607212800/1607299200

41 keys

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065504881#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255824681#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200

40 keys

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255824681#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107367025#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200

Sold for:

Vivid Plasma Modest Pile of Hat

7 keys

Also needs a mini

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107367025#!/compare/1609891200/1609977600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1609891200/1609977600

Added 15 keys

for

Stormy Storm Hong Kong Cone

Probably use over at the HKC

Sale 9

On and off bot

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1613779200/1613865600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198888086377#!/compare/1613692800/1613779200

42 keys 36.55 ref matches

Dumped to buy order

Taking 43 keys here

Sale 11

Sold on MP

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/341;5;u10

Dec 12th - $85 / $1.89 = 44.97 keys

Jan 1st - $89.95 / $2.13 = 42.23 keys

Feb 27th - $99.99 / $2.14 = 46.72 keys

Sales

44, 41, 40, 43, 45, 42, 47

Sales in order

40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 47

Trend over the past 2 weeks

https://gladiator.tf/listings/602b00d7f97b3ebd85e435cf

https://gladiator.tf/listings/602c4be18161ade948d87807

https://gladiator.tf/listings/602d9e8f05a879767cc6c513

https://gladiator.tf/listings/602ed9c2248647fa80e27f10

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60303f5e16f4f7c104d29cc9

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60316897b50618a30bcb3e5c

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6032e0e1196d2e8293d3605c

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60343141eff8abf3d80bc1b7

https://gladiator.tf/listings/603561ef3d593f3e4c2fe28a

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6036e120ea3a98c7c0033f75

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60383617e5bdc821abcb525b

https://gladiator.tf/listings/603980943beabe8b30354e5f

https://gladiator.tf/listings/603aaeb041fd026e67ec06f9

https://gladiator.tf/listings/603bffda63437057e83d0feb

https://gladiator.tf/listings/603d4bc947c900f8c510974e

From 42 ish keys up to now 43.5 keys over the past 2 weeks

Given this splatter of sales, with the Vivid Modest and the HG Winter Woodsman probably fitting in a range that we could take here.

I am inclined to not use the 48 key sale that is rather bulky which you found and probably go with 43 - 47 keys here

https://prnt.sc/10arkg9 - notes from price mods, 43 - 47 should work given that the 47 key sale was indeed a clean sale

https://pastebin.com/2FjQZFBN - pastebin of my above work with the formatting, feel free to copy and paste the RAW data

https://gyazo.com/60bc80389f51c5037d88948cace4dc2e - gif of how to copy and paste without the spaces in between which kinda ruins the point of me making the pastebin :D

Best of luck!

aight, many thanks!