Price Suggestion
Circling Heart Yule Hog
Submitted by Adahn
~20 keys
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Unusual Yule Hog Circling Heart
60 votes up
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Two recent sales to give a range, and an older one to support the general area


https://backpack.tf/item/9814590583


27/2/21 Livy to Nordic Cure for 20 keys

Previously, Nick the Third to Adahn (me) via quickbuy SCM, Listed on SCM then moved to Livy bot.


Pic: https://imgur.com/a/SRZlgMQ


Unknown


Can’t find this one on premium search, but sold on marketplace.tf 24/02/21 for $44.99, median key price on that day on mp was $2.11, therefore 21.32 keys, rounded to 21


Honourable mention:

https://backpack.tf/item/8796563419


Sold on marketplace.tf for $40 on 15/11/20 probably to https://backpack.tf/u/76561198174389586. Earliest median key price I can see on Marketplace is $1.76 from 01/12/20. Rolling that backwards a couple of weeks gives us 22.72 keys, rounded to 23. Not counted in suggested range due to age of sale and no firm key price for the day of trade.


Therefore suggesting value of 20-21

    How much your SCM quickbuy? A screenshot of the scm sale would be helpful (even if it ends up being too low)

      Sorry! £21.24; I've added an image to the imgur link in the suggestion. I was counting SCM keys as £1.80 at the time, so 11.8 by my reckoning. Quickbuys on bptf on the date of purchase were at 13 keys 11.33 ref - I've also added a screenshot of that to the imgur. I'd obviously discounted that from any suggested range as an outlier.

        No worries, that is definitely a low outlier here. There is currently a SCM seller at ~17 keys (https://gyazo.com/dcf7b745eebb69edb84c44f9d253033a) I am watching right now, depending on what happens to the seller this suggestion will either be fine as-is or 17 will be needed to added to the range.

      Thanks! I think this was the same one I saw sell in Feb on Marketplace that wasn't on Premium search at the time I made the suggestion

      Seems like the SCM seller is gone - this will be fine

        Does that mean this should be accepted?

          Yeah; it's assigned to Xergoyf and I've messaged him about it. Unless he has any further objections he will accept it when he gets to it.