Redoing the SCM sales by multiplying by a factor of 1 + ((1 / 1.15) / 0.85) as my math was incomplete last time around. You can't go from 1.15 to 1 by multiplying by 0.85, so I have to multiply all my numbers by the accurate factor. Everything else was good tho, also including a ~*new sale not in old suggestion*~ in this proper suggestion.

NEEDS an update

https://youtu.be/-E6ljLSOkbY

mp.tf: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/542;1

Jan. 17, 2021: 4.88/2.1 = 2.323 keys

Dec. 3, 2020: 8.9/ 1.77 = 5.028 keys (major outlier)

Nov. 8: 4.88/ 1.81 (based on https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-11-08&site=marketplace.tf (https://prnt.sc/109wjsw) = 2.696 keys

Sep. 25: 4.88/ 1.85 (based on https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-09-25&site=marketplace.tf (https://prnt.sc/109whwv) = 2.638 keys

Sep. 10: 4.5/ 1.86 (based on https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-09-15&site=marketplace.tf (https://prnt.sc/109wg6f), all previous sales will also use this price due to it being the oldest available data) = 2.419

Jul. 29: 4.87 = 2.618 keys

3 sales (Jul. 5, 13 & 27) all at 3.9 = 2.097

Jun. 19 & May 31: 4.88 = 2.624

May 24: 4.93 = 2.651

Ignoring sales before this date due to being old and unsupported by recent sales

SCM: https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Genuine%20Noise%20Maker%20-%20Vuvuzela

Doing the same math as above, but multiplying sale price by 0.85 before dividing by that day's key sale average as found on https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=x&currency=x&appid=440&market_hash_name=Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key and then correcting as stated above.

Current lowest sell order on date of suggestion: 1.927 keys

Current highest buy order on date of suggestion: 1.450 keys

Mar. 2: 1.927 keys

Feb. 27: 1.927, 1.882, 2.431 keys

Feb. 26: 1.759 keys

Feb. 23: 1.753

Feb. 18: 1.807

Feb. 17: 1.414

Feb. 16: 1.435

Feb. 14: 1.990

Feb. 12: 1.960

Feb. 10: 1.382

Feb. 2: 1.398

Jan. 31: 1.729

Jan. 29: 1.759

Mannco.store sales:

Jan. 6, 2021: 3.31/ 1.84 = 1.799 keys

Jan. 1: 3.31/ 1.86 = 1.780

Sep. 9, 2020: 3.31/ 1.61 (based on oldest displaying data from Nov. 28, 2020 https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-11-28&site=mannco.store (https://prnt.sc/109wykr)) = 2.056

All Key Values of Sales, lowest to highest:

1.362

1.367

1.382

1.398

1.414

1.435

1.729

1.753

1.759

1.759

1.780

1.799

1.807

1.882

1.927

1.927

1.960

1.990

2.056

2.097

2.097

2.097

2.323

2.419

2.431

2.618

2.624

2.624

2.638

2.651

2.696

5.028

Key value of Lowest 5 Sales = 1.362, 1.367, 1.382, 1.435, 1.729, removing 1.435 and below as quicksale outliers

Key value of Highest 5 Sales = 5.028, 2.696, 2.651, 2.638, 2.624, removing 5.028 as outlier

Median sale value(s) of remaining sales: 2.056

Mean sale value: 2.166 (without outliers), 2.158 (with outliers)

Mode sale value: 2.097

As 2.215 keys is the average of the lowest supported sale (1.73) and the highest supported sale (2.7), as well as aligning very nicely with all relevant medians, modes and means, I am confident that 1.73 - 2.7 keys, while a broad range for this price point, is a fair and well supported range.