Mini for Flaming Lantern Backwards Ballcap

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/9234971589

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967713796#!/compare/1613692800/1613779200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107100668#!/compare/1613692800/1613779200

Swap?

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/7957228405

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198288235862#!/compare/1607385600/1607472000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109753033#!/compare/1607040000/1607385600

Untrace

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109753033#!/compare/1609718400/1609804800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045493149#!/compare/1609545600/1609977600

Untrace

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045493149#!/compare/1610064000/1610150400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1609977600/1610064000

Untrace

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1612224000/1612310400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107100668#!/compare/1611792000/1612396800

Untrace

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107100668#!/compare/1613692800/1613779200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967713796#!/compare/1613692800/1613779200

Swaps

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/4668625725

Sale 7

Scammed

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1609718400/1609804800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357313958#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200

Cool Festivized Specialized Killstreak Cardboard Boxed Scattergun (Minimal Wear) matches

But I think considering it's a item trade with qs.store, being a bit dubious

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357313958#!/compare/1609891200/1610064000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200

12 ref matches

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1611619200/1611705600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799648359#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000

Sold for 17 keys 3 ref

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799648359#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443040110#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000

Bulk for 32 keys

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443040110#!/compare/1612224000/1612310400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198868969121#!/compare/1612310400/1612396800

Sold for:

Orbiting Planets Tundra Top - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/604544bd11a63a6c8b742caf - 17 keys

3 keys

20 ref

17 + 3 = 20 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6019b1cddf957c984c1be0d6 - buyout 21 keys

Taking 20 keys, the 20 ref rounds down

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198868969121#!/compare/1612224000/1612310400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067967717#!/compare/1612224000/1612310400

Sold alongside 7 keys and...

Strange Elfin Enamel Degreaser (Minimal Wear) matches

Excluding

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067967717#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255850609#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

Bulk for DUPED Flaming Lantern Backwards Ballcap

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255850609#!/compare/1612915200/1613001600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046132370#!/compare/1612915200/1613001600

23 keys match, as does the OFire Rifleman

I'm thinking this was somewhat bulky, excluding

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046132370#!/compare/1613347200/1613433600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198969479868#!/compare/1613260800/1613433600

Sold for 20 keys

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198969479868#!/compare/1613606400/1614038400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827489734#!/compare/1613779200/1613952000

Strange Snow Sleeves matches

Rest untrace, excluding

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827489734#!/compare/1613952000/1614038400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198805652812#!/compare/1613952000/1614038400

Sold for:

Miami Nights Napper's Respite - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60454916f28ddf3a716e5b4b - 22 keys

Some small ref sweets

Taking 22 keys

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198805652812#!/compare/1614038400/1614124800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199075908215#!/compare/1614038400/1614124800

Sold for:

Terror-Watt German Gonzila - https://pastebin.com/Ad2SgXQU - taking 12 keys

9 keys

25 ref

13 ref in small sweets

12 + 9 + 1 = 22 keys

Taking 22 keys here

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199075908215#!/compare/1614297600/1614384000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1614297600/1614384000

Untrace

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/427;5;u62

Jan 9th - $35 / $2.13 = 16.43 keys

Sales

17, 20, 20, 22, 22, 16

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/10fldkw

Seller at 21 keys

Buyers at 17.39 keys

Hmmm

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Disco%20Beat%20Down%20Capo%27s%20Capper - glad stats show another purchase rounding up to 20 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/603a3003f7fe4947db1f462c

https://gladiator.tf/listings/603a620a674085e2e9e251eb

Seems to have been smarties' bot

Taking 20 - 22 keys for now