Mini for DBD TC

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/7332192732

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087763379#!/compare/1607299200/1607385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174009537#!/compare/1606176000/1607385600

Bulk for Clairvoyance Pithy Professional

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174009537#!/compare/1608076800/1608249600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201316974#!/compare/1608163200/1608249600

Sold for:

Violent Wintertide King Cardbeard

2 keys

Using there

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201316974#!/compare/1608940800/1609027200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180923509#!/compare/1608940800/1609027200

Added 9 keys for Death at Dusk Hot Dogger

Using there

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199124965533#!/compare/1611532800/1611792000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061182096#!/compare/1611532800/1611619200

Sold for 60 keys

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/3562597355

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096309056#!/compare/1609891200/1609977600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1609804800/1609977600

Bulk for Haunted Ghosts Soldier's Stash

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/3279146447

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014846686#!/compare/1607472000/1607731200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149684815#!/compare/1608422400/1612656000

SCM?

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149684815#!/compare/1608422400/1612656000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137564765#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000

Bulk for DBD TC

Using there

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137564765#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

Burning Flames Outta' Sight matches, probably bulk

Seems to have added 48 keys for the Outta Sight, use there please :D

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067967717#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

Sold for:

DUPED Flaming Lantern Backwards Ballcap - 44 keys, see below

6 keys

44 + 6 = 50 keys

Mini for Flaming Lantern Backwards Ballcap

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/566220169

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1607385600/1607472000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180923509#!/compare/1607385600/1607472000

Sold for 43 keys 40 ref

Taking 44 keys

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037674114#!/compare/1608854400/1609286400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072484882#!/compare/1609372800/1609459200

Untrace

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072484882#!/compare/1609459200/1609545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198826771573#!/compare/1608163200/1609459200

Untrace

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198826771573#!/compare/1609459200/1610323200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198281630040#!/compare/1609372800/1609459200

Untrace

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180923509#!/compare/1610668800/1610755200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353865610#!/compare/1610668800/1610755200

Sold for 39 keys 51.11 ref to Smokerbot

Taking 40 keys

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198281630040#!/compare/1609459200/1609545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1610668800/1610755200

29 keys 3 ref matches

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1611619200/1611705600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109506971#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000

Untrace

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109506971#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869390792#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000

Untrace

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869390792#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198977567860#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000

Untrace

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198977567860#!/compare/1611792000/1612137600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159393035#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000

Bulk

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159393035#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198876779200#!/compare/1611619200/1611878400

Untrace

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198876779200#!/compare/1611878400/1612137600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372942066#!/compare/1601424000/1611878400

Untrace

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372942066#!/compare/1611878400/1615075200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350879574#!/compare/1611964800/1612051200

Untrace

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350879574#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198277994334#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600

Untrace

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988330806#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255850609#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000

27 keys match

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255850609#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067967717#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000

Sold for:

Pyroland Nightmare Nuke - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6045268c80e9525d2b2b3489 - 26 keys

Disco Beat Down Capo's Capper - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60454d294ecd9c7cb43a486b - 21 keys

26 + 21 = 47 keys

Taking 47 keys here

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067967717#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

Added 6 keys for

Morning Glory Caribbean Conqueror

Using here

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1614902400/1615075200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037484203#!/compare/1614988800/1615075200

Has not sold yet, just duped things

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353865610#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158120554#!/compare/1611964800/1612051200

Sold for 47 keys 30 ref

Taking 48 keys

Sales on the DUPED Flaming Lantern Backwards Ballcap

44, 40, 29, 47, 48

Taking 40 - 48 keys as a mini for the DUPED Flaming Lantern Backwards Ballcap

I do not like trying to make sense of duped histories

Mean = 44 keys

https://pastebin.com/eKfnWnkd - here's a pastebin of the above mini just for anyones use.

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067967717#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198843683108#!/compare/1612742400/1612828800

Sold for 56 keys

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198843683108#!/compare/1613520000/1613692800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322957656#!/compare/1613606400/1613692800

Sold for:

Frozen Fractals Telefragger Toque - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6045599e52cc7b4869120ce7 - 45.5 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Diamond Botkiller Medi Gun Mk.I - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142958707#!/compare/1610582400/1610668800 - taking 11 keys

5 keys

45.5 + 11 + 5 = 61.5 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/602f0ee77e9b5c7365260270 - 70 key buyout

Taking 62 keys here

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322957656#!/compare/1613952000/1614038400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198425761681#!/compare/1613952000/1614038400

Sold for:

DUPED Steaming Master's Yellow Belt

3 keys

Mini for DUPED Steaming Master's Yellow Belt

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/875114365

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198243128080#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800

41 keys match

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198243128080#!/compare/1612569600/1612915200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198425761681#!/compare/1612483200/1612828800

Untrace

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198425761681#!/compare/1613952000/1614038400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322957656#!/compare/1613952000/1614038400

Added 3 keys for MG Caribbean, using there

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322957656#!/compare/1614124800/1614211200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285385979#!/compare/1614124800/1614211200

Sold for:

Purple Energy Thirst Blood

9 keys

This is well over 70 keys in mixed

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285385979#!/compare/1614124800/1614211200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049595074#!/compare/1614124800/1614211200

Sold for:

Sunbeams Human Cannonball

~1.5 keys in adds

This is clearly less than 50 keys in mixed

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/823931162

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079417400#!/compare/1611273600/1611360000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204215085#!/compare/1611187200/1611273600

Untrace

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204215085#!/compare/1611273600/1611360000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199006971039#!/compare/1611273600/1611360000

Sold for 45 keys

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199006971039#!/compare/1611273600/1611360000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1611273600/1611360000

Untrace

Sale 9

MP

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/644132560

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116370823#!/compare/1609200000/1609977600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041406231#!/compare/1609113600/1609200000

Untrace

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041406231#!/compare/1610496000/1610582400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199030966484#!/compare/1610496000/1610582400

Untrace

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199030966484#!/compare/1610582400/1610668800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089342576#!/compare/1608595200/1610582400

Untrace

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/110;5;u36

Jan 14th - $142 / $2.12 = 66.98 keys [I think this is Blaze's sale in the second duped history]

Mar 3rd - $149.99 / $2.17 = 69.12 keys

Sales

~70

~50

45

67

69

Hmm, given 70 dumps for 50, I want to exclude both. The other sales on the MG Caribbean indicate that the belt is probably 55 - 60 ish in value so 67/69 would be too high

From all this, I am just going to exclude the DUPED Steaming Master's Yellow Belt sale due to its sales being too discrepant

Sales on the Morning Glory Caribbean Conqueror

60, 50, 56, 62

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/10fmzw5

Sellers at:

2 weeks at 65 keys

2 months at 70 keys

Buyers at:

46.4 keys

Taking 50 - 62 keys here