Update!

Sale: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/341;5;u12 - 25.99/1.75 = ~15

https://backpack.tf/item/7955587237

Rest of the mp.tf sale(s):

25.99/1.76 = ~15

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Credits to aj:

Yeet

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/201968347

Sale 1

Bought off Scrap to get redumped

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1611532800/1611619200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Massed%20Flies%20A%20Rather%20Festive%20Tree - sale for 12 keys here

I see 12 keys

Perhaps?

https://gyazo.com/ba16c910a4d730ed80ee0f5f8569261b - thanks Smarties

Sale was 12 keys

Sale 3

Dumped to loot.farm, excluding to and from

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142264197#!/compare/1612310400/1612396800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278223478#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000

Untrace

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278223478#!/compare/1612742400/1612828800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

Untrace

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60226467540f226f571c1fc1 - buy order was 11 keys 42 ref

Would round to 12 keys

Sales

12

12 (buy order rounded up)

Range is probably needed, or exclude 15 given the current seller at 12.5 keys

https://prnt.sc/1038hsx

Only an 8 day unsold so watch I suppose

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Additional by Blaze:

i would exclude 15 here and go 12 flat. seller is now 11 days old at 12.5 which is long enough to call 15 high here. there were 2 sales at 12 as well vs the single sale at 15.

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12 it is.