MIni for DUPED Cloudy Moon El Jefe

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/9285463187

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198345436872#!/compare/1608336000/1609891200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095820039#!/compare/1609545600/1609632000

Sold for:

Aromatica California Cap - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fd3d017cfc1903d0b44f165 - 51.5 keys

Roaring Rockets Taunt: The Carlton - https://pastebin.com/m8wMYg57 - taking 5 keys

51.5 + 5 = 56.5 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fde71817f631f725cbe0f59 - 70 key buyout

Taking 57 keys here

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095820039#!/compare/1611792000/1611964800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109506971#!/compare/1611792000/1611878400

Untrace

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109506971#!/compare/1611792000/1611878400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198835042333#!/compare/1611878400/1615593600

Untrace

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198835042333#!/compare/1611878400/1615593600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832584507#!/compare/1611705600/1611878400

Untrace

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832584507#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159393035#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800

Untrace

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/9260176904

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170698671#!/compare/1610668800/1611014400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070980833#!/compare/1610928000/1611014400

21 keys match

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070980833#!/compare/1612137600/1612310400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099101053#!/compare/1612224000/1612310400

Bulk

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/9196678587

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1611360000/1611446400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198277994334#!/compare/1611100800/1611446400

Untrace

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198277994334#!/compare/1611792000/1611878400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198835261912#!/compare/1611792000/1611878400

Sold alongside some ref sweets for 50 keys

Taking 50 keys

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198835261912#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1612137600/1612224000

Untrace

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/9191144502

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042634121#!/compare/1608163200/1608422400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101176394#!/compare/1608249600/1608422400

Untrace

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101176394#!/compare/1608422400/1608508800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1608336000/1608422400

1 key 29.33 ref matches

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1608595200/1608681600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079373263#!/compare/1608681600/1608768000

Strange Dead of Night

11 keys

match

Uhhh, seems like mostly keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fe2985851c3fc0457f4b0a5 - 52 key buyout

I can say with some sort of confidence that this would cap at 52 keys

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/9146939959

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105087064#!/compare/1608508800/1608768000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070877812#!/compare/1601078400/1610409600

Untrace

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/9137935905

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963572202#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

Bulk

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1609718400/1609804800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163258879#!/compare/1609545600/1609804800

Sold alongside:

Apotheosis Taunt: The High Five! - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/604ce6c618967d78a5391ccc - 21.5 keys

for

Haunted Ghosts Herald's Helm - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/604ce6ef9c85292a2764be45 - 55 keys

Mystical Medley Airdog - 40 was indate at the time of this sale

55 + 40 - 21.5 = 73.5 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5ff3c7a544a3f35a59eefd48 - 70 key buyout

Capping at 70 keys

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163258879#!/compare/1610582400/1610755200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216561389#!/compare/1610668800/1610755200

Added:

Gravelly Ghoul King Cardbeard - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ff0630dcb56aa0cca59d968 - 20 keys

for

Circling Peace Sign Hawk Warrior

Use over at the Warrior, it has 2 low sales, one at 22 keys, one at 33 keys I think, at least that was the buyout

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216561389#!/compare/1610668800/1610755200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060589954#!/compare/1610668800/1610755200

Bulk for Strange Stormy 13th Hour Anger

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060589954#!/compare/1611014400/1611100800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049595074#!/compare/1611014400/1611100800

Bulk for Purple Energy Sergeant's Drill Hat

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049595074#!/compare/1611187200/1611273600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152988012#!/compare/1611187200/1611273600

46 keys match, 56 keys leave buyers inventory

I checked all the key histories, 10 keys do not in fact match up and go to this account instead:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140668977#!/compare/1611360000/1611705600

This isn't the right compare link since I couldn't find where the keys came in, they may have been traded super fast, in fact I am inclined to believe that Frost bought this users backpack, including the 10 keys they just traded for from the buyer of the bf cali cap here

Taking as 46 keys

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152988012#!/compare/1611532800/1611792000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124591302#!/compare/1611792000/1611878400

Sold for 51 keys

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124591302#!/compare/1614816000/1614902400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173442901#!/compare/1614729600/1614902400

Bulk for DUPED Cloudy Moon El Jefe

Using there

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173442901#!/compare/1615161600/1615248000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066813088#!/compare/1615161600/1615248000

Sold for 62 keys

Sale 24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066813088#!/compare/1615334400/1615420800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070798621#!/compare/1613260800/1615420800

Untrace

Sales

57, 50, 52, 70, 46, 51, 62

Sales but ordered

46, 50, 51, 52, 57, 62, 70

Current listings

https://prnt.sc/10kmxar

Sellers at:

75 keys

4 days at 75 keys

2 days at 80 keys

Buyers at 35 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/600b49839fff85ba88dc11f9 - buyers at the time of the 46 key sale were also at 35 keys

With that in mind, I think I' m going to chop 46 and 70 keys away from the range here and go with 50 - 62 keys just to tighten the range a bit more.

Going with 50 - 62 keys

Any criticism is always, and forever will be, appreciated