Suggestion: Frozen Fractals Antarctic Eyewear at 90–110 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~120 keys

frozen fractals

72 votes up

5 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Wed, 21 Apr 21 19:48:47 +0000 by Blaze.xTH3RM4Lx.

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Mini for Burning Flames Semi-tame Trapper's Hat

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/9664217424

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197057134#!/compare/1609632000/1609977600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339431191#!/compare/1609977600/1610064000

Sold for 50 keys I think, keys used to unbox

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339431191#!/compare/1610409600/1610755200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307761034#!/compare/1610582400/1610755200

Sold for:

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Minigun - https://gladiator.tf/listings/6003723b6b9943ad9f3d8948 - 41.5 keys

Shimmering Lights Taunt: Fresh Brewed Victory - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60538332326b0b4c3d036ebd - 11.5 keys

Apotheosis Taunt: The Victory Lap - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60538d36be27211f8a2052d7 - 23 keys

Strange Gold Botkiller Wrench Mk.II - https://gladiator.tf/listings/60036fdb53043a19ef1db2bc - 2 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Loose Cannon - https://gladiator.tf/listings/600371b4dfe7320506498c2f - 8.5 keys

Frosted Star Taunt: Soldier's Requiem - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60538f2bbe27211f8a2057ef - 5.5 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Brass Beast - https://gladiator.tf/listings/60036ba711e73f7964f0c922 - buyers 3.7 keys

Delightful Star Taunt: Mannrobics - https://pastebin.com/jn95B4sS - taking buyers at 19 keys, sales are discrepant

23 keys

41.5 + 11.5 + 23 + 2 + 8.5 + 5.5 + 3.7 + 19 + 23 = 137.7

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60023b98731a304c4815928e - 300 key buyout

Taking 138 keys

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307761034#!/compare/1613779200/1614038400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076413900#!/compare/1613692800/1613865600

Adds 24 keys for something

Untrace, excluding

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076413900#!/compare/1614211200/1614297600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063140203#!/compare/1614211200/1614297600

Sold for 89 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60382c0c20194e24e5f96cea - buyout 200 keys

Feels like it was a qs of sorts

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/9650926790

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217101891#!/compare/1613433600/1613520000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1613347200/1613433600

2 keys match

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1613433600/1613520000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020981163#!/compare/1613520000/1613692800

38 keys match

https://prnt.sc/10p7unf - confirmation from buyer

https://gladiator.tf/listings/602c89094a7261d47e7312b6 - 109 key buyout

Taking 109 keys

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/9626717154

Sale 7

Excluding trades with scammers

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443937092#!/compare/1609718400/1609804800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198943242227#!/compare/1609545600/1609804800

Sold for Burning Flames Semi-tame Trapper's Hat

Using there

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198943242227#!/compare/1612742400/1613347200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148482073#!/compare/1613260800/1613433600

Sold for 90 keys

Sales

50, 138, 89, 109, 90

Outlier either end, going 90 - 110 keys here

I'm not so sure that 90 should be included. It's a bit weird, as you said 89 seems like a quicksell and then httpe's sale (sale #9, the 90 key sale) seems weird too.

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60145cb93cb4e29e5158347b ~ he was asking 300 keys on the 30th of january

https://gladiator.tf/listings/602382a5ad035a0e4ed6a244 ~ 200 keys on the 10th of feb

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6029ec285aaeae3832f8ce8c ~ 250 keys on the 15th of feb

It seems weird that he would cut his asking price from 300, to 250, to 200 then all the way to 90 so fast, if it wasnt a quicksell?

I've left a comment on the sellers profile to find out and also contacted the buyer

https://prnt.sc/10ybbcx

I double checked, it was 90 keys pure flat

I mean I'm more inclined to take a range around the median here given the spread of sales

https://imgur.com/a/BHkTU2x https://gladiator.tf/listings/602a1a7a3698f34bad46000e 90k via buy orders, qs imo

dont plan on reselling anytime soon

if you need anything else dm me or ping me on backpack server/steam, i wont be checking backpack that much over the next few days

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217101891?time=1613347200 - it's kinda tough to say that 90 is a qs with the seller at 90 at the time dumping to qs.store the day after being listed at 90 keys

Idk much about unusual suggesting but anything that isn’t a quicksell might just be slow. Tbh your opinion is a lot more valid than mine tho so

Huh didn't even see you had a buyorder for 90. Makes it seem like its even more out of the range

In the snapshot provided by Mr365truck, it shows both the seller of this item: https://backpack.tf/item/9650926790 at 90 keys pure, and his buy order at 90 keys pure.

My assumption is then that http dumps to buy order given that there is a sell order for exactly that price. Then the seller of https://backpack.tf/item/9650926790, dumps to qs.store the next day for definitely lower than 90 keys, most likely closer to 50/60 keys who knows.

In the end, we have 2 lower sales, one high sale and a splatter of sales that are close to a decent median here.

Therefore I'm sticking to 90 - 110 keys here

I appreciate all the thoughts :D

I'm so confused rn :c. I am lost now xD. How do u know it was dumped to qs.store (that item)? I'm just curious :P I haven't been in the suggestion game for a bit now

https://backpack.tf/item/9650926790 because Johan is a qs.store bot and keys matched from near ID to the sellers inventory