Mini for Green Confetti Merc's Mohawk

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/7957531209

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203330566#!/compare/1612915200/1613520000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139370347#!/compare/1612828800/1612915200

Untrace

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/7957517347

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057561955#!/compare/1608940800/1609027200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114099422#!/compare/1608595200/1609027200

Sold for:

12 keys

Midnight Whirlwind Taunt: Zoomin' Broom - https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fe7cb190833812f20c976ee - buyers 5 keys 22.33 ref at the time

Festivizer - https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fe7bd71a5116b9bbd6063da - 39.44 ref

12 + 5.5 + 0.5 = 18 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fe78148422ab9f1e1d5d7b9 - 18 key buyout

Taking as 18 keys

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114099422#!/compare/1609200000/1609286400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144006178#!/compare/1609200000/1609286400

Untrace

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/7957410104

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199106217370#!/compare/1611360000/1611446400

https://prnt.sc/10q88c0

These 14 keys and 1 ref match

https://gladiator.tf/listings/600d4d62a5734156917434ee - buyout was 14 keys 0.11 ref

Taking as 14 keys flat here

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/7956778750

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307602421#!/compare/1613260800/1613520000

4 keys match

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/7956063538

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198809836021#!/compare/1610841600/1610668800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1610755200/1610841600

Bulk for GFetti Merc's

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/6125633937

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1608422400/1608508800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132699658#!/compare/1608422400/1608508800

12 keys match

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fe0a9a27acc2a8a4bb39db2 - buyout 11 keys 62 ref

Taking as 12 keys

Sale 8

Excluding tradeit

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/4619793850

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198408606810#!/compare/1609459200/1609545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392333063#!/compare/1609459200/1609545600

Sold for 15 keys

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392333063#!/compare/1609459200/1609545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337891504#!/compare/1612224000/1612224000

Untrace

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198281630040#!/compare/1613433600/1613520000

Untrace

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198281630040#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199124947178#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400

Untrace

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199124947178#!/compare/1613606400/1613692800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199020698851#!/compare/1592956800/1614211200

Untrace

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199020698851#!/compare/1614211200/1614729600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1614124800/1614211200

Untrace

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30428;5;u56

Jan 9th - $33.99 / $2.13 = 15.96 keys

Sales

18, 14, 12, 15, 16

Sales but ordered

12, 14, 15, 16, 18

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/10q8dts

26 days at 20 keys

Bot at 20 keys

23 days at 20 keys

Buyers at 15.75 keys

Trend over the past 2 weeks

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6042815170811c20ecaa49eb

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6043df2106ac0a42adfab49e

https://gladiator.tf/listings/604564683134b721abcd64de

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6046a14dcbf42ecfadbedeea

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6047f9115a0a3542012302af

https://gladiator.tf/listings/604934c9b51301b1daa3fa62

https://gladiator.tf/listings/604aa65b4656d63a35f408c7

https://gladiator.tf/listings/604be142462555a9f77ce905

https://gladiator.tf/listings/604d4dad4f168a4ccf3505c5

https://gladiator.tf/listings/604e89269925c63899cede8e

https://gladiator.tf/listings/604fdb2ae2f3fe152cad04e5

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60513b8dff0557cce6012c25

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6052743c7909ac95c9b7b3ec

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6053a0a465dc317dfcde3516

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6054f2079f6f3ec5ab28cd20

Buyers have consistently been above 14.5 keys in the past 2 weeks

Given this, I think refreshing at 15 - 18 keys is fine here