Price Suggestion
~52.5 keys
g.nrg
Unusual A Rather Festive Tree Green Energy
29 votes up
16 votes down
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Comments

"Mean green, and unseen."


8-month-old price, 6 recent sales, and all of them are clean ones.


Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/item/937335445

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353865610#!/compare/1610150400/1610236800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260755782#!/compare/1610064000/1610236800

49 keys 27 ref, taking 49.5


Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/item/245142570

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1611964800/1612051200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083514749#!/compare/1612051200/1612915200

Sold on Jan 30, for a Strange Terror-Watt Galvanized Gibus (outdated, mini below) and a Pumpkin Party Sir Pumpkinton (30.5, in date)

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6014a49c220a163ab986407c

BO was 49 keys 27 ref, according to Gladiator.tf


Sale 3: https://backpack.tf/item/937335445

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047293906#!/compare/1607644800/1608163200

Bulk for Green Energy Brotherhood of Arms, excluding


Sale 4: https://backpack.tf/item/937335445

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1612569600/1612656000

https://gladiator.tf/listings/601ec87cbc0618bdc1e60986

https://gladiator.tf/listings/601f816d6cfc87f3fa828682

Sold on Feb 7, not sure where this hat went to and it's sorta untraceable, but according to Gladiator.tf, the BO was 49 keys and 27 ref as well, taking 49.5


Sale 5: https://backpack.tf/item/422683533

https://gyazo.com/ec0e7fca32040776006bf575ce7f314c

55 keys


Sale 6: https://backpack.tf/item/827402089

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1616112000/1616198400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008449784#!/compare/1548201600/1616198400

Untraceable, the original owner seems to be cashing out, excluding


No recent sales on mp.tf:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/341;5;u09


Mini on TW Galvanized Gibus


2 usable sales


Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/item/4967672745

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1608163200/1608249600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297271627#!/compare/1608249600/1608336000

24 keys


Sale 2: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30003;5;u57

$59.99 on Jan 31, 2021, the average key price for that day was $2.1

59.99/2.1=28.6, rounding to 29


https://gyazo.com/6056d5d38402df2553f94346fbfa8b2a

30 is unsold for 27 days, so taking 24 for the TW Galvanized Gibus

Therefore for tree sale 2, it will be 24+30.5=54.5, maxing out the BO


Sales: 49.5, 54.5, 49.5, 55

Sales in order: 49.5, 49.5, 54.5, 55


Taking the past 3 months from Gladiator.tf

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fd8ef0e4005f611c1aac7ac

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fe237a743fd1cfa01626c20

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5feb6c7b9cd9f8678f32654a

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5ff4929dda5c741b78a23958

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5ffdd4603e4484af441829f6

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6007357b3f6c56b48d54bbbb

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60106a45d553abacd9d6a32f

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60197c788a412b70c1f93d14

https://gladiator.tf/listings/604a5f326ffe9d7c4d2a4d7a

Most sell orders are around 49-51, with most of the usable sales in the range of 49-50, so excluding the 54.5 and 55 ones, and taking 49-50 as the final result.


Any further helpful info is always appreciated.

    I don't see any reason to really exclude 55 from the range here.


    As far as advice goes, I wouldn't have ranged this 49 - 50 keys with your logic, you need to round sales to the closest key above 10 keys

    Source:

    https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/6033-rules-for-unusual-price-suggestions/

    "

    Rule - for all unusuals below 5 keys, rounding to the nearest 0.05 keys is required. No other decimals are allowed.

    Rule - for all unusuals 5-10 keys, please round to the nearest 0.5 keys. No other decimals are allowed.

    Rule - for all unusuals above 10 keys, please round to the nearest whole key

    "


    So following your reasoning regarding sellers floating around 49/51 keys, and using the 2 49.5 key sales to range here, it would be 50 flat


    I think 50 - 55 keys works for the time being give current sellers at 56 keys+


    Of course, wait for a mod to respond :D

    Excellently made suggestion, keep it up.


    Couple final notes just from me:

    Actual item history for first item - https://backpack.tf/item/278285954

    Sale 2 is rather dubious

    Strange Terror-Watt Galvanized Gibus instead of non strange

    https://backpack.tf/item/6678646002

    https://backpack.tf/item/9374597855

    Neither history seems to match so I wouldn't say concretely that was the sale


    Sale 3:

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1607558400/1607644800

    It is now outdated, here is the correct "buyer's" link for the trade


    Sale 4:

    You cannot say for sure that sale was 49.5 keys, I would just say it was untraceable


    Sale 5:

    You yourself paid 55 keys for the hat, a pure sale certainly seems to warrant a range of sorts


    So from the above:

    We have a sale at 49.5 keys, rounding up to 50 keys

    We have your pure purchase at 55 keys


    I think 50 - 55 keys is a fine call here now

      kk, I will wait for a mod's suggestion to see their ideas.

      Not sure how I managed to make such a teensy mistake on item 1 xd, it was right when I did the draft.

      And as always, I appreciate the extra info >v<

        aj is correct here, 50 - 55 will work.