Been unpriced for a while, let's give it a shot!

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144285249#!/compare/1615766400/1615852800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107800277#!/compare/1615766400/1615852800

untraced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107800277#!/compare/1615766400/1615852800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161272026#!/compare/1615766400/1615939200

traded alongside 46 keys for a burning flames field practice

Bflames Field practice has an indate price of 85.5 rounding to 86.

86 keys - 46 keys = 40 keys

Therefore, valuing the Misfortune Fedora at 40 keys in this trade

However, since 40 is less than 43 which is half of the BF Field Practice, this sale would count as bulk.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054805729#!/compare/1615852800/1616025600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161272026#!/compare/1616025600/1616112000

compare links are a tad messy, but contacted the buyer, and he paid 38 keys pure

Proof - https://imgur.com/a/mV8UZLn

Therefore, valuing trade at 38 keys

In summary, 1 recent sale at

38 keys

Going with a flat 38 key price