History 1: https://backpack.tf/item/7744053539

6 keys 7 ref, ~6 keys (lower than buyers):

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184689039#!/compare/1610064000/1610841600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101442624#!/compare/1610668800/1610841600

6 keys 38 ref, ~6.5 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101442624#!/compare/1611187200/1611360000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322920746#!/compare/1616716800/1616716800

History 2: https://backpack.tf/item/7523572703

15 ref matches:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198338193317#!/compare/1611273600/1614816000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198810946967#!/compare/1611273600/1611360000

6 keys 19.44 ref, ~6.5 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198810946967#!/compare/1611273600/1611360000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1611273600/1611360000

Sold on Marketplace.tf: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31024;5;u56

February 4: $20.99/2.1=10 keys

no buyout but there were sellers at ~7 keys at the time of the sale: https://gladiator.tf/listings/600dde8d758b64e5ab258a2e

History 3: https://backpack.tf/item/7418084417

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198886850124#!/compare/1609459200/1609545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198225182712#!/compare/1609372800/1609545600

Sold to a bot:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198225182712#!/compare/1609545600/1609632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199106217370#!/compare/1609545600/1609632000

Dumped to Quicksell.Store:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199106217370#!/compare/1613001600/1613088000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1613001600/1613088000

Tradeback

8 keys (the Rifle doesn't match, most likely got traded around the same time):

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1616284800/1616371200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198929305560#!/compare/1616284800/1616371200

buyout was 8 too https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198929305560#!/compare/1616284800/1616371200

Sales at 6, 6.5, 6.5, 8, 10

10 is a high outlier given there were lower sales when it happened, it's also Marketplace.tf.

Excluding 6 because it's a lot lower than buyers. Buyers are around 6.5 but still gonna include 6.5 because it's a commin trading point.

Going with 6.5-8 with an outlier on each end

No new sales, buyers are up to ~6.72, gonna leave this up longer because 6.5 has still been a common trading point