Not Manipulation (got mine for almost 6 years)

Sale #1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050509579#!/compare/1617062400/1617148800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198960169972#!/compare/1617062400/1617148800

Sold for 130 keys pure high-end

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198215559840#!/compare/1614124800/1614211200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1614124800/1614211200

Sold with 100k pure for clean Vivid Beak (220) -> 120 keys low-end

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091330099#!/compare/1614729600/1614816000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149346287#!/compare/1614556800/1614816000

Sold for 125 keys pure

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149346287#!/compare/1613606400/1613692800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083328505#!/compare/1613606400/1613692800

Unsure about this one, either sold for 85 (outlier) or 111k (but not all the keys are matching)

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083328505#!/compare/1613088000/1613174400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158206236#!/compare/1613088000/1613174400

Can't price the Hot MW Glacial RL

Other sales

All the other recent sales I could find were used to upgrade, and are bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088975567#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045883624#!/compare/1611792000/1611878400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088975567#!/compare/1611792000/1611878400

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017105162#!/compare/1613865600/1613952000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1613865600/1613952000

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077555267#!/compare/1615766400/1615852800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198960169972#!/compare/1615766400/1615852800

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049469629#!/compare/1614902400/1614988800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049469629#!/compare/1614384000/1614470400

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1614297600/1614470400

And bulk

Other histories I could find without recent sales

https://backpack.tf/item/957872887

https://backpack.tf/item/225946170

https://backpack.tf/item/494617211

https://backpack.tf/item/285565182

https://backpack.tf/item/293842628

https://backpack.tf/item/502834387 duped

Any pertinent comments are welcome.