Green Confetti Tundra Top - resuggest on K1ng's advice

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https://backpack.tf/item/6959767930

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311274291#!/compare/1615852800/1615939200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1615852800/1615939200

Some bot shenanigans

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1616371200/1616457600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199057724401#!/compare/1616025600/1616457600

Some complex bot trade

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199057724401#!/compare/1616544000/1616716800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139370347#!/compare/1616630400/1616716800

Quicksold to bot for 14 keys 31.33 ref

= 15 keys

In a bot but not currently listed?

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https://backpack.tf/item/6975708373

Marketplace.tf sale $32.25: https://i.imgur.com/Z9hqvON.png

Key price $2.19: https://i.imgur.com/iE6HFzt.png

Marketplace.tf link: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30976;5;u6

= 15 keys

Sold to scrap.tf very briefly

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1616630400/1616716800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1616630400/1616716800

Bought instantly from scrap.tf, I don't want to check keys because speed of sale (close IDs) means it's likely low anyway.

Currently for sale for 16 keys by bot (unsold for 2 weeks)

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https://backpack.tf/item/8428148582

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013011182#!/compare/1614470400/1614556800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199052001789#!/compare/1614124800/1614470400

Sold for Killstreak Australium Stickybomb Launcher

gladiator.tf snapshot for stickybomb launcher (22 keys): https://gladiator.tf/listings/603bf164129d3740753733da

gladiator.tf snapshot for unusual shows buyout 18 keys: https://gladiator.tf/listings/603bbaf4c61f43626216019c

= 18 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199052001789#!/compare/1614470400/1614556800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047288457#!/compare/1614384000/1614470400

???

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047288457#!/compare/1614470400/1614556800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181753101#!/compare/1614470400/1614556800

20 outgoing keys match? Dead Presidents Bazaar Bauble also matches going to ScrapTF storage bot though, so this is 20 keys for both hats. Bauble is 4 months at 7 keys, so this is about 13.

Seller (scrap.tf auction bot): https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134190635#!/compare/1615248000/1615852800

Real seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181753101#!/compare/1615161600/1615334400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198996919362#!/compare/1615161600/1615248000

14 keys match through

= 14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198996919362#!/compare/1615248000/1615334400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309372865#!/compare/1615248000/1615334400

Sold with Strange California Cap (negligible) and 3 keys for Blizzardy Storm Batter's Helmet (19-20 keys).

= 16 keys

Not currently listed for sale.

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https://backpack.tf/item/9485370635

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199086424869#!/compare/1615680000/1616112000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198440035#!/compare/1615593600/1615680000

???

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198440035#!/compare/1615593600/1615680000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069090237#!/compare/1615680000/1615766400

Bulk for Circling Peace Sign Killer Exclusive

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069090237#!/compare/1616025600/1616198400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1616112000/1616198400

Quicksold to bot for 14 keys 1.11 ref

= 14 keys

Currently for sale for 16 keys by bot (unsold for 3 weeks)

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Sales:

14 pure scrap.tf auction

14 bot qs

15 bot qs

15 marketplace.tf

16

18

Sellers: 2 bots at 16 keys. Buyers at 14.2 keys. Excluding 18 given current sellers (unsold for 2-3 weeks) at 16 and to even out range, on K1ng's advice. Going with 15-16.