History 1: https://backpack.tf/item/9261558253

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198836332065#!/compare/1613347200/1613433600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1613260800/1613347200

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1613347200/1613433600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047293906#!/compare/1613606400/1614816000

History 2: https://backpack.tf/item/9242412537

Sold for a Vivid Plasma Brigade Helm (in-date at 30 keys):

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974125477#!/compare/1610841600/1610928000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198411393267#!/compare/1610755200/1610928000

Buyout was 33, doesn't cap https://gladiator.tf/listings/60035a8bb5b37d19ce045cb5

Taking 30 here

History 3: https://backpack.tf/item/9210021762

Sold for 31 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065241300#!/compare/1617408000/1617494400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377165880#!/compare/1617408000/1617494400

This was a buy order dump https://gladiator.tf/listings/606903672f85dc9602b1632a

History 4: https://backpack.tf/item/9188146528

Sold for a Starstorm Insomnia Old Guadalajara, Professional Killstreak Ghost Town Degreaser (Field-Tested), Creepy Crawlies Taunt: Party Trick, Skill Gotten Gains Taunt: The Headcase and 20 ref:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1611100800/1611273600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253202061#!/compare/1611100800/1611187200

Should fall in-range with the other sales

Sold to a bot:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253202061#!/compare/1612224000/1613174400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042938501#!/compare/1612137600/1612224000

29 keys + 2 Barely-Melted Capacitors + 2 Non-Craftable After Eight + 2 cheap skins + Balaclavas Are Forever

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042938501#!/compare/1613088000/1613174400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198324276106#!/compare/1613001600/1613088000

After Eights were ~1.05-1.15, mean of 1.1 https://gladiator.tf/listings/6025d47c34995f2ababcedd0

Balaclavas was ~1 key https://gladiator.tf/listings/60260796be995c014499479a

the Capacitors were ~8.66-9.22 ref (~0.15 keys) https://gladiator.tf/listings/6026db72b1ac3297cac54cf4

The skins will literally be cents.

29+1.1+1.1+1+0.15+0.15=32.5 keys. Rounding to 33

Buyout was 35, doesn't cap https://gladiator.tf/listings/6025a47ce329ee5d2bbe660c

History 5: https://backpack.tf/item/9181711503

Marketplace.tf sale, not quite sure which one

History 6: https://backpack.tf/item/9175748098

One of the March Marketplace.tf sales

History 7: https://backpack.tf/item/9172142557

Sold on Mannco.Store https://mannco.store/item/23412

January 30: $85/1.85=45.95 ~46 keys

Dumped to a quickbuyer for 24 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059836930#!/compare/1611100800/1612051200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1611964800/1612051200

33 keys match in buyer's compare:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1612396800/1612483200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050163560#!/compare/1612396800/1612483200

History 8: https://backpack.tf/item/9143550331

28 keys + Screaming Tiger Taunt: The Balloonibouncer:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063910085#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198293554681#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000

Balloonibouncer should round down to 4 keys https://imgur.com/VIN8LrN https://gladiator.tf/listings/607595b3a761827e4bad352c

28+4=32 keys

Buyout was 35, doersn't cap https://gladiator.tf/listings/60106ff7b04fcc463ba20e69

Taking 32 here

History 9: https://backpack.tf/item/9140262705

Added the Fist Bump, Pooped Deck and Strange KS Iron Bomber for the Isotope Killstreak Peppermint Swirl Iron Bomber (Well-Worn), better used there:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182234714#!/compare/1610668800/1611100800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119601623#!/compare/1610928000/1611100800

24 keys 15.88 ref matches in buyer's compare:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119601623#!/compare/1611532800/1611792000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004799979#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004799979#!/compare/1612742400/1612828800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141054773#!/compare/1612742400/1612828800

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141054773#!/compare/1612828800/1612915200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199028655581#!/compare/1612915200/1613001600

History 10: https://backpack.tf/item/9139536669

Dumped to a quickbuyer:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126578228#!/compare/1612310400/1616889600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1612310400/1612396800

Then went on Marketplace.tf

Marketplace.tf sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31108;5;u155

February 24: $79.99/2.14=37.38 ~37 keys

March 17: $89.99/2.19=41.09 ~41 keys

March 24: $89.99/2.18=41.28 ~41 keys

Unsolds:

40 keys (5 days) https://backpack.tf/item/9176989066

40 keys (9 days) https://backpack.tf/item/9210021762

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31108;5;u155 $89.99 (~43.26 keys)

Sales at 24, 24, 30, 31, 32, 33, 33, 37, 41, 41, 46

46 got dumped for less so excluding. 24 is way below buyers at 31 so excluding that too. 31 was also a buy order dump. Gonna exclude 41 too since it was Marketplace.tf and there are currently 2 sellers at 40 (even though they wern't there that long it will still balance out the range) 37 was Marketplace too but gonna still include it because there were higher sales

Let's go with 32-37 (mean value of 24-46 and 32-37 is ~35 in both cases anyway)