Price Suggestion
~2400 keys
doorway
Unusual Head Prize The Dark Doorway
17 votes up
11 votes down
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This suggestion was accepted by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Resuggesting... again...

first suggestion: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6039886b3bcc3a3ba76737f4

second suggestion: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60398ccf42f2817cd126699b


I will be excluding previous sale as corona needs to be updated and multiple other unpriced unusuals were traded within the same trade.


Recent CLEAN sale 1 and only - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003666182#!/compare/1614297600/1614384000

Golden Pan (Median 2000 Keys at that time) + 375 keys.


2375 Keys => 2400 after rounding up (bptf rule).

        https://backpack.tf/item/7247400279

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041108750#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400

        Sold alongside:

        Frosted Star Taunt: Kazotsky Kick - sellers 65 keys, buyers 23 keys

        Serenus Lumen Head Hedge - Sellers 50 keys, buyers 34 keys

        Pale Nimbus Mighty Mitre - only bulk sales, 18 key buyer

        Reindoonicorn Rancher Taunt: The Pooped Deck - buyers at 12 keys

        5 keys

        for

        Haunted Phantasm Jr Master's Yellow Belt -

        Deep dive into the belt:

        Only sale indate as of this comment [05/05/21]

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527#!/compare/1612742400/1612828800

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198854233126#!/compare/1612742400/1612828800

        Sold for:

        The Ooze Pencil Pusher - mini below, states that the Pencil is at least 1500 keys or something

        Roboactive Crocleather Slouch - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/608ef7387cd2694b1d017aa2 - 95 keys

        71 keys


        https://gladiator.tf/listings/6022b6d4a622efd9dc871029 - buyout 900 keys


        This definitely caps at 900 keys but it is also why I'm holding off making any actual suggestions on the sales below.


        Ooze Pencil:

        https://backpack.tf/item/3121191262

        Sale 1

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104146629#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400

        Added:

        Twinkling Lights Taunt: Rocket Jockey

        Ventum Maris Elf Care Provider

        for

        Serenus Lumen Blast Defense - https://gladiator.tf/listings/602def005884f2c3f55b1857 - buyout 1200 keys, no other sales, could use there potentially


        Sale 2

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104146629#!/compare/1618704000/1618790400

        Sold for Ooze Brainiac + 400 keys

        https://prnt.sc/12jo6f7 - here


        From the below mini, this makes the Pencil like more than 1500 keys or something, and I couldn't find a buyout


        Mini for Ooze Brainiac

        https://backpack.tf/item/3164267658

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104146629#!/compare/1619222400/1619308800

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063104128#!/compare/1619136000/1619308800

        https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/250356056855674880/835966144305168425/ez_deal.PNG

        Sold for:

        821 keys

        Spellbound Tippler's Tricorne


        No buyout


        Taking the HPJR Belt as 900 keys somehow


        Special Snowfall Blast Defense - only sale is one for one with Neutron Star Herald's Helm, which has no other sales, buyers at 100 keys

        Frozen Fractals Cat's Pajamas - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60932618a9172c3a975b3026 - 180 keys

        Abduction Corona Australis - hmm, a struggle here

        Only recent sale [Which was indate when you first tried to suggest this, and the second time]

        https://backpack.tf/item/7491681639

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800

        https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014383676#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800

        https://prnt.sc/12jpung

        Sold for:

        Ethereal Essence Patriot Peak - lots of sales

        Frozen Icefall Winter Wrap Up - 130 was indate at the time

        Special Snowfall Patriot Peak - yup lack of minis

        Sulphurous Le Party Phantom - also no minis now

        The Dark Doorway Chill Chullo - essentially no minis


        Sooooooo:

        Head Prize + minimum 92 keys, going upwards to ~I estimate 150 keys for (900 + 100 + 180 + wack, I mean sale is probably somewhere in the region of 1300 keys lol)


        ~2500 keys subtract 100 keys or so to get around 2400 keys valuation on the Head Prize.


        That might have been confusing but essentially I abandoned my pricing suggesting experience to guesstimate how much the corona sale was and my conclusion is that close enough, it supports your value of 2400 keys


        I do want to say:

        https://gladiator.tf/listings/60397f460c353f91ab256fcd - Gpans were at 2250/2300 key sellers at the time of your purchase

        https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f84338075d3fd726e6386ec - my suggestion is hella old

        https://backpack.tf/suggestion/608c34fd1e794c267f5b1e28 - this has a mid point of 2300 keys


        Wait for a mod to comment but this really should use the newer suggestion that Strange made

        2300 + 375 = 2675 so rounds to 2700 keys meaning the corona sale definitely supports the raise I suppose


        Please wait for a mod comment, I sort of lost myself inside these minis and trying to explain the sales.

          damn, that's one hell of a mini breakdowns.

          thanks for the heads up!

          should I wait for the gpan price suggestion to be accepted? or can I still use it as evidence eventho it's still ongoing?

            You can use the current open gpan suggestion as evidence yes, otherwise sales would go very out of date if we had to depend on suggestions passing to use their suggested values.


            With that being said, I would advise you wait for what a mod has to say regarding the additional evidence I found as well as your current suggestion to see which direction you should go in :D

            https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1071;11;kt-3 not that many, but there are a couple of pan sales around that time that are roughly in sync with the value at that time. looking at the suggestion it seems that the new sales average much higher than the older ones, so using this for the market 3 months ago should be fine here.