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Resuggesting... again...
first suggestion: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6039886b3bcc3a3ba76737f4
second suggestion: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60398ccf42f2817cd126699b
I will be excluding previous sale as corona needs to be updated and multiple other unpriced unusuals were traded within the same trade.
Recent CLEAN sale 1 and only - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003666182#!/compare/1614297600/1614384000
Golden Pan (Median 2000 Keys at that time) + 375 keys.
2375 Keys => 2400 after rounding up (bptf rule).
https://backpack.tf/item/7247400279
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041108750#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527#!/compare/1612656000/1612742400
Sold alongside:
Frosted Star Taunt: Kazotsky Kick - sellers 65 keys, buyers 23 keys
Serenus Lumen Head Hedge - Sellers 50 keys, buyers 34 keys
Pale Nimbus Mighty Mitre - only bulk sales, 18 key buyer
Reindoonicorn Rancher Taunt: The Pooped Deck - buyers at 12 keys
5 keys
for
Haunted Phantasm Jr Master's Yellow Belt -
Deep dive into the belt:
Only sale indate as of this comment [05/05/21]
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527#!/compare/1612742400/1612828800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198854233126#!/compare/1612742400/1612828800
Sold for:
The Ooze Pencil Pusher - mini below, states that the Pencil is at least 1500 keys or something
Roboactive Crocleather Slouch - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/608ef7387cd2694b1d017aa2 - 95 keys
71 keys
https://gladiator.tf/listings/6022b6d4a622efd9dc871029 - buyout 900 keys
This definitely caps at 900 keys but it is also why I'm holding off making any actual suggestions on the sales below.
Ooze Pencil:
https://backpack.tf/item/3121191262
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104146629#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400
Added:
Twinkling Lights Taunt: Rocket Jockey
Ventum Maris Elf Care Provider
for
Serenus Lumen Blast Defense - https://gladiator.tf/listings/602def005884f2c3f55b1857 - buyout 1200 keys, no other sales, could use there potentially
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104146629#!/compare/1618704000/1618790400
Sold for Ooze Brainiac + 400 keys
https://prnt.sc/12jo6f7 - here
From the below mini, this makes the Pencil like more than 1500 keys or something, and I couldn't find a buyout
Mini for Ooze Brainiac
https://backpack.tf/item/3164267658
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104146629#!/compare/1619222400/1619308800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063104128#!/compare/1619136000/1619308800
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/250356056855674880/835966144305168425/ez_deal.PNG
Sold for:
821 keys
Spellbound Tippler's Tricorne
No buyout
Taking the HPJR Belt as 900 keys somehow
Special Snowfall Blast Defense - only sale is one for one with Neutron Star Herald's Helm, which has no other sales, buyers at 100 keys
Frozen Fractals Cat's Pajamas - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60932618a9172c3a975b3026 - 180 keys
Abduction Corona Australis - hmm, a struggle here
Only recent sale [Which was indate when you first tried to suggest this, and the second time]
https://backpack.tf/item/7491681639
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014383676#!/compare/1611878400/1611964800
https://prnt.sc/12jpung
Sold for:
Ethereal Essence Patriot Peak - lots of sales
Frozen Icefall Winter Wrap Up - 130 was indate at the time
Special Snowfall Patriot Peak - yup lack of minis
Sulphurous Le Party Phantom - also no minis now
The Dark Doorway Chill Chullo - essentially no minis
Sooooooo:
Head Prize + minimum 92 keys, going upwards to ~I estimate 150 keys for (900 + 100 + 180 + wack, I mean sale is probably somewhere in the region of 1300 keys lol)
~2500 keys subtract 100 keys or so to get around 2400 keys valuation on the Head Prize.
That might have been confusing but essentially I abandoned my pricing suggesting experience to guesstimate how much the corona sale was and my conclusion is that close enough, it supports your value of 2400 keys
I do want to say:
https://gladiator.tf/listings/60397f460c353f91ab256fcd - Gpans were at 2250/2300 key sellers at the time of your purchase
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f84338075d3fd726e6386ec - my suggestion is hella old
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/608c34fd1e794c267f5b1e28 - this has a mid point of 2300 keys
Wait for a mod to comment but this really should use the newer suggestion that Strange made
2300 + 375 = 2675 so rounds to 2700 keys meaning the corona sale definitely supports the raise I suppose
Please wait for a mod comment, I sort of lost myself inside these minis and trying to explain the sales.
damn, that's one hell of a mini breakdowns.
thanks for the heads up!
should I wait for the gpan price suggestion to be accepted? or can I still use it as evidence eventho it's still ongoing?
You can use the current open gpan suggestion as evidence yes, otherwise sales would go very out of date if we had to depend on suggestions passing to use their suggested values.
With that being said, I would advise you wait for what a mod has to say regarding the additional evidence I found as well as your current suggestion to see which direction you should go in :D
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1071;11;kt-3 not that many, but there are a couple of pan sales around that time that are roughly in sync with the value at that time. looking at the suggestion it seems that the new sales average much higher than the older ones, so using this for the market 3 months ago should be fine here.