Suggestion: Miami Nights Cotton Head at 34–41 keys

Sold to Samantha for 39 keys and 0.55 refined you could check the history of the key which belonged to Samantha, couldn't find that it was in Samantha's inventory but from the Marketplace.TF | Bot 115's Inventory, Samantha clearly gave one to Marketplace.TF | Bot 115.

Item [4]

https://backpack.tf/item/8440947351

Sale [4]

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216387065#!/compare/1616025600/1617408000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198888086377#!/compare/1617062400/1617321600

It's just being given to a Marketplace.tf bot

Item [5]

https://backpack.tf/item/7956431611

Sale [5]

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198381746750#!/compare/1616544000/1617926400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198795826430#!/compare/1616889600/1616976000

It's just a transfer from the owner to the bot.

Item [6]

https://backpack.tf/item/2440449249

Sale [6]

https://imgur.com/a/dNY8bzf [Spoilers I brought this one]

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198967207158#!/compare/1618099200/1618444800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199106217370#!/compare/1618358400/1618444800

It was sold to me for 34 keys.

Item [3]

https://backpack.tf/item/9647390490

Sale [7]

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213917739#!/compare/1615507200/1615766400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269140999#!/compare/1615593600/1615766400

Can't find Diego Brando ever owning the hat but we can prove that Popypoplandpop popy gave 38 keys to Diego Brando for the hat.

Item [3]

https://backpack.tf/item/9647390490

Sale [8]

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197976541644#!/compare/1615593600/1615680000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269140999#!/compare/1615593600/1615766400

Can't find how much it was sold for, prob sold for real money.

Item [3]

https://backpack.tf/item/9647390490

Sale [9]

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199007760710#!/compare/1615334400/1615593600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197976541644#!/compare/1615507200/1615593600

It's still a nope, can't find how much it was sold for.

Item [3]

https://backpack.tf/item/9647390490

Sale [10]

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135471163#!/compare/1615420800/1615507200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199007760710#!/compare/1615334400/1615593600

Untraced.

Item [3]

https://backpack.tf/item/9647390490

Sale [11]

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320128582#!/compare/1614988800/1615075200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135471163#!/compare/1614988800/1615075200

Sold for 8 keys, but I doubt it would be that low prolly had some irl money added to the trade.

Item [3]

https://backpack.tf/item/9647390490

Sale [12]

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1613779200/1613865600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320128582#!/compare/1613692800/1613952000

Can't find any keys being traded, probably sold for Irl money.

Item [3]

https://backpack.tf/item/9647390490

Sale [13]

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353722400#!/compare/1613347200/1613520000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1613520000/1613606400

Prolly sold for irl money.

Marketplace.tf Sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30175;5;u61

Sold for 89.99 USD on 22nd March, 2021

So we are looking at,

8 keys [high chances of fluke or Irl money added], 34 keys,38 keys, 39 keys, [41 keys/89.99 USD [Converted to keys with that day's price of 2.19 USD per key, it would be 41 keys]

So I say 34-41 as the 8 key price is just ridiculous.

Solid suggestion

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30175;5;u61

New sale:

Apr 27th - $89.99 / $2.01 = 44.77 keys

For your 38 key sale:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213917739#!/compare/1615507200/1615766400

I checked all the key histories, though 38 items leave, only 37 of them are keys, they all match Diego though so the 38 key sale was 37 keys

For your 39 key sale:

https://prnt.sc/12kp0kv

This matches, which is actually 36 keys 0.55 ref

https://gladiator.tf/listings/604e731ec09dcf4502a34ef3 - which is pretty legit at the time

Now sales are at:

34, 36, 37, 41, 45

Up to mods here but 34 - 45 keys is pretty wide, I think 36 - 41 is a lot nicer personally.

Wait for a mod comment, good first unusual suggestion.

Some advice from me:

Make sure that when you count keys through near id, that all the keys are present and don't just look at the "obtained together (x items)" and think that x = number of keys involved.

Essentially, be a little more thorough with your checking, but excellent first suggestion nonetheless!

45 is mp and there's a month unsold at that price, this should be fine as-is.