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Keys have been moving at 55.88-56 ref (mean is 55.94)
https://imgur.com/RZ6Eamk
https://gladiator.tf/listings/607fc3af7242880b2a2a5d1e
Taking past week
Seller 1: Bought 369 keys at $1.73
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/76871-buying-keys-173-each-buying-special-keys-ref-tools-backpacks-also-paypal/
https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198031258757
$1.73/55.94=$0.031 ~$0.03
Seller 2: Bought 2568 keys at $1.72
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/76896-blazexth3rm4lx-is-buying-keys-for-172-usd-paypal/
https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198061108999
$1.72/55.94=$0.031 ~$0.03
Seller 3: Sold 5617 keys for $1.78
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/76949-selling-keys-for-zelle-venmo-cash-app-crypto-for-178-100%E2%80%99s-to-1000%E2%80%99s-in-stock-20000-keys-in-recent-rep/
https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198120347528?page=2&
$1.78/55.94=$0.032 ~$0.03
Seller 4: Sold 2686 keys for $1.82
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/77688-selling-700-keys-for-182-usd/?tab=comments#comment-651228
https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198061489334
$1.82/55.94=$0.033 ~$0.03
Seller 5: Bought 1228 keys at $1.74
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/68510-buying-keys-for-174-backpacks-via-paypal-330-rep/
https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198032176942
$1.74/55.94=$0.031 ~$0.03
Seller 6: Sold 35 keys for $1.8
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/75702-selling-400-keys-180-800-tour-of-duty-tickets-085-paypalzelle-keys-172-btc/
https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198014404374
$1.8/55.94=$0.032 ~$0.03
Seller 7: Bought 45 keys for $1.7
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/76054-%F0%9F%92%B2-buying-tf2-keys-for-170-paypal-negotiable/
https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198128838220
$1.7/55.94=$0.03
Mannco.Store: https://mannco.store/item/1
Past week: (1.85+1.85+1.82+1.82+1.83+1.84+1.81)/7=$1.83
$1.83/55.94=$0.033 ~$0.03
Marketplace.tf:
Past week: (2.08+2.07+2.05+2.05+2.04+2.02+2.02)/7=$2.05
$2.05/55.94=$0.036 (outlier)
Majority is at $0.03, taking $0.03
(Ps: this is my first Refined suggestion, constructive criticism is appreciated)
I don't want to upvote this aaaa (In all seriousness looks fine, more examples are always nice but this seems like plenty)
When the key price suggestion gets accepted I'll probs post some more
Keys seem to be dropping in ref, down to 51-52 refined
1 week later...
Keys rn seem to be 57.77-57.88 ref https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key&at=2021-05-01T13:18:06.827Z https://gladiator.tf/listings/608d53201a4617265aad818d
57.83 as a median.
Seller 1: Bought 514 keys at $1.69 each
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/72542-sprekt-is-buying-keys169-and-backpacks-with/
https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198267189538
$1.69/57.83=$0.029 ~$0.03
Seller 2: Bought 95 keys at $1.69 each
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/76054-%F0%9F%92%B2-buying-tf2-keys-for-169-paypal-negotiable/
https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198128838220
$1.69/57.83=$0.029 ~$0.03
Seller 3: Sold over 300k keys at $1.77 each
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/76949-selling-keys-for-zelle-crypto-venmo-cash-app-for-177-100%E2%80%99s-to-1000%E2%80%99s-in-stock-30000-keys-in-recent-rep/
https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198120347528?page=2&
1.77/57.83=$0.031 ~$0.03
Seller 4: Bought 408 keys at $1.68
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/38397-%F0%9F%94%A5frost-is-buying-keys-for-168-usd-paypal-500-trust-ratings%E2%9C%85-no-rep-needed/
https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198061836787
$1.68/57.83=$0.029 ~0.03
ref will soon go down to 0.02$
if cash key sellers/buyers keep lowering their prices and key price in ref keeps going up it will
oh god please no
Seems like keys are currently in a bad place; after the last key suggestion, they have been dropping steadily, and now they're at 51ref. That would put most of these data points near $0.035 (which is current). It might be best to hold on and see what happens to keys the coming weeks, as this may simply have been the result of a peaking key price (which seems to fall back much closer to what they were at when ref was last updated).
Alright I'll close this since the current price might be fine for now, thx for the response