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Resuggestion, thx Blaze
History 1: https://backpack.tf/item/4087996734
Appears as a Marketplace.tf sale but nothing appears matching this date on the site https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1110;5;u3038
History 2: https://backpack.tf/item/3685117281
Erik bought for 27: https://imgur.com/a/bDth7xt
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199033450344#!/compare/1607040000/1610668800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1607040000/1607126400
Sold on Marketplace.tf: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1110;5;u3038
January 16: $79.99/2.11=37.91 ~38 keys
No buyout
History 3: https://backpack.tf/item/3174405814
Tradeback
From Blaze:
that makes 2 lower sales now which indicates a range is likely needed here.
27 - 38 should be fine here now