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~75 keys
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Unusual Bloke's Bucket Hat Burning Flames
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6 votes down
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History 1: https://backpack.tf/item/9908008293


Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115074385#!/compare/1614902400/1615507200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141054773#!/compare/1615334400/1615420800


Sold for 55 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141054773#!/compare/1616457600/1616544000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069674214#!/compare/1616457600/1616544000


History 2: https://backpack.tf/item/263721092


Bulk to Tradeit.GG:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123496597#!/compare/1612137600/1612224000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198893907666#!/compare/1608681600/1612224000


Untraceable, nothing matches:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198893907666#!/compare/1612224000/1613433600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203811797#!/compare/1611792000/1612224000


Sold for a Haunted Ghosts Fed-Fightin' Fedora + 9 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203811797#!/compare/1612310400/1612569600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1612396800/1612569600

The Fedora had a suggestion at 32-36 keys (mean of 34) but the suggester was asked to close it since it was unstable at the time, just gonna use the mean value of that as a mini since no new sales occurred https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6022b6a51070811af7306ffe

34+9=43


Sold for 46 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1613347200/1613433600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296967233#!/compare/1613347200/1613433600


Sales at 43, 46, 55

Buyers were at ~44 when the sale at 43 happened, should be fine to exclude https://gladiator.tf/listings/601db58f713cdcdcc665e7cf

When 46 happened, buyers were only at 45 and the sale doesn't look like a quicksell https://gladiator.tf/listings/602aece642a2bf59c2317fad

Including 46 despite the buyers at 50 because 55 flat wouldn't make sense with 2 lower sales. There's also an outdated Marletplace.tf sale (from January) at 47.61 keys https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/181;5;u13


Going with 46-55 for now

    buyers were at 50 a month ago and are now up to 55. looks like this needs a raise more than a drop

      Thing is, wouldn't using the 55 sale alone be considered unbalanced? or maybe better to wait for more sales?

        yeah you can wait for more sales on this and leave it outdated for now

          Will do, giving this a raise with one sale when 2 lower ones happened doesn't feel right. thx for the response

            no worries, feel free to close this one in the mean time

              oops my bad, I thought I closed it