Mini for Spellbound Gibus

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/1847289416

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004270205#!/compare/1606608000/1606867200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527#!/compare/1606435200/1606694400

Untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527#!/compare/1610150400/1610236800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083134207#!/compare/1610150400/1610236800

Bulk for Serenus Lumen Legendary Lid

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/1335397988

Sale 3

Bought off MP

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/1002647961

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111860392#!/compare/1611532800/1611619200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198325595749#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800

Bulk buy

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/970415374

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198878741590#!/compare/1605571200/1605744000

Sold for:

Accursed Taunt: Scotsmann's Stagger - buyers 21 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Shooting Star - selling for 16.5 keys

Exorcism Strange Specialized Killstreak Phlogistinator - probably worth around 2 to 3 keys

Collector's Festivized Professional Killstreak Scottish Resistance - buyers 8 keys

Collector's Festivized Tomislav - buyers 10 keys

115 keys

21 + 16.5 + 2.5 + 8 + 10 + 115 = 173 keys, going on the basis of buy orders

No buyout

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198878741590#!/compare/1607040000/1607299200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083134207#!/compare/1607126400/1607299200

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Pencil Pusher

As far as I can see, this was a direct downgrade of about ~50/60 keys in only 20 days, so I think excluding both sales here is good

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/723824192

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1610841600/1610928000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104037014#!/compare/1610841600/1610928000

Sold for 190 keys

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/587643846

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850794032#!/compare/1609027200/1609200000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1609200000/1609286400

Bulk for GPan

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286937752#!/compare/1607990400/1609891200

Sold for 180 keys

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/472657063

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084464609#!/compare/1611878400/1612137600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087806226#!/compare/1612051200/1612137600

Sold for less than buy orders

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/808098737

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1606867200/1606953600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1606867200/1606953600

Sold for:

Strange Stormy Storm Villain's Veil

10 keys

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1607126400/1607212800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186212887#!/compare/1607126400/1607212800

Bulk for Spellbound Gibus

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186212887#!/compare/1607385600/1607644800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1607385600/1607472000

Backpack buy

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198851200748#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198416955733#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

Untrace, some taunts match but nowhee near enough in value

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198416955733#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

Sold alongside:

Max's Severed Head

for

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Sniper Rifle

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Medi Gun

Purple Energy Bat Hat

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071346629#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800

Sold for:

Strange Australium Minigun - buyers 22.27 keys

Morning Glory Gridiron Guardian - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60227fbaae635b35492a8036 - 30 keys

Scorching Flames Frenchman's Beret - buyers 62.63 keys

Strange Cold Snap Coat - sellers 7.78 keys

Stormy Storm Ze Goggles - buyers 12.95 keys

Green Confetti Brain-Warming Wear - buyers 6.49 keys

Strange Specialized Killstreak Original - sellers 40 keys

22.27 + 30 + 62.63 + 7.78 + 12.95 + 6.49 + 40 = 182.12 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/600df974014c72d407f09132 - 180 key buyout

Capping at 180 keys

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071346629#!/compare/1611619200/1611705600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1611532800/1611619200

Sold alongside:

Isotope Killstreak Cabin Fevered Rocket Launcher (Well-Worn)

Blizzardy Storm Little Buddy

7 keys

for

Stormy Storm Blighted Beak

Use over there

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/315;5;u30

Jan 22nd - $399.99 / $2.10 = 190.47 keys

Sales

190, 180, 180, 191

Taking 180 - 190 keys here

Criticism appreciated

Thanks Blaze:

https://gladiator.tf/listings/602b0aa6c09760c82fed51e3

https://backpack.tf/item/1847289416 - 3 weeks at 175 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/601072159cfabc412abb8749

https://backpack.tf/item/9914688344 - 1.5~ months at 175 keys

aj addition:

Shuffle gave me a heads up

For sale 17 here:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/604bf347bb074422b7407a8f - Stormy Beak at 172.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/604beea0ffefc97806718bbc - iso cabin rl at 29.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/604becdbad87d264d278f05b - blizzy buddy at 9.75 keys

172.5 - (29.5 + 9.75 + 7) = 126.25 keys

So this sale is low for here

Aj addition:

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/604bf6929f8dde03685b65ce - 147.5 keys

147.5 + 10 = 157.5 keys

So could take 160 - 190 keys?

Thanks Blaze:

given the unsolds i would exclude the 190 sales here and just go with 160 - 180

Taking 160 – 180 keys here

Thanks Blaze:

currently 2 sellers at 170 keys (3 weeks and 11 days, the 3 week seller was up at 175 keys for a lot longer as well)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198325595749#!/compare/1618531200/1618790400 - sold for Nuts n' Bolts Exquisite Rack + 86 keys = 155 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1616544000/1616630400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198437502762#!/compare/1616544000/1616630400

https://gladiator.tf/listings/605b9d281a438d4e3538648c - sold for 131 keys + Purple Confetti Crone's Dome

maybe this could get re-suggested with a range including these 2 sales. should end up being roughly 155 - 170 keys. the other sales are on the older side and are now countered by the sellers.

Taking that