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I don't think the sun glitches on this one. It hasn't for me yet!
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Sale #1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136017741#!/compare/1620345600/1620432000
I paid 331 pure + a prismatica fire fighter
There are a LOT of sales on the fire fighters, but at the time of the sale
https://gladiator.tf/listings/6096b706a6fd596986e8ba4f
Buyers were over 41, and the seller at 50 was the result of a 48 key buyout purchase
(you can see a double bot b/o here: https://gladiator.tf/listings/607a2c6823a90af95de2bbde )
and I have personally been trying to get 50 ever since I got it, so even though my listing changed price and I relisted, I *was unsold at 50 for a month*.
So at its highest, the prismatica can only be worth 48 or 49, but I know there was a quicksell and quick rebuy from qs.store (I cant seem to find it on the snapshots but I know it was there) where the bot resold for 42 within the week so buy order prices right now suggest the minimum is closer to 45 if there are more sales.
Given that, it will simply be either 331 + 45 or 331 + 48. This comes to 376 or 379. Either way, I would round the sale to 380 under polar's guideline - for hats 200-1000 keys, "please round to the nearest 10 keys". So 380 no matter what the eventual mini is on the prismatica.
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Sale #2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145132802#!/compare/1618876800/1619049600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1618963200/1619049600
sold for cloudy moon cowl + 70 pure
Only other sale on the cowl:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998579531#!/compare/1617580800/1617753600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1617667200/1617753600
seems to have sold for 160 or something in pure if you manually count the keys on ultralow's side
but that makes the HKC sale UNDER 300
And, well,
https://prnt.sc/12qi0ke
https://gladiator.tf/listings/607f2278ce8414bbfd457fa1
there have been buyers at or above 300 keys not only at the time of the sale but also for over a month longer
so I am calling this low
and because the cowl is also >50% on that side, it might be better to use this HKC sale there give the circumstances