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Resugg with more information (Thanks aj!)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31154;5;u3005
Feb 20th - $45.99 / $2.12 = 21.69 keys
Mar 3rd - $45.99 / $2.17 = 21.19 keys
Purchased for 34 keys + Unique Time Out Therapy taunt (1.8 keys) rounding up to 36
https://i.imgur.com/pxDN8pX.png
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111793495#!/compare/1616284800/1620086400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198352919822#!/compare/1615852800/1617840000
Untraceable?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198884620267#!/compare/1615939200/1616371200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067161406#!/compare/1614038400/1616112000
paid for with a low craft? possibly an unrelated trade
rest seem to be self crafted, going with 21-36.
Sold mine for 60 keys. Don't have visibility of new trades but might pressure on a higher high end or the removal of the low end especially given the age of the mp.tf sales.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082401774#!/compare/1624665600/1624752000 ouch, he resold to a buyer for 11 keys and a few ref. Excluding both sales here is probably the best course of action - with that in mind, the suggested value will be fine.