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Requested by Braxol
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/777367381
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078207681#!/compare/1614988800/1615075200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106372188#!/compare/1614988800/1615075200
Seems to have sold for:
Burning Flames Frag Proof Fragger - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60a6884875dc1a34af1669a7 - 120 keys
Scorching Flames Hong Kong Cone - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/608b00152dd52f0619489fd8 - 280 keys
Purple Energy Head Warmer - https://pastebin.com/fUuW8fi7 - 95 keys as a mini
120 + 280 + 95 = 495 keys
https://gladiator.tf/listings/604438ac778471a47d8e1a07 - 675 key buyout
Taking sale as 495 keys here
Item 2
https://backpack.tf/item/252586884
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140162979#!/compare/1619481600/1619740800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198247640596#!/compare/1619654400/1619740800
Brokering?
Item 3
https://backpack.tf/item/206427993
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074120641#!/compare/1614384000/1614902400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049469629#!/compare/1614816000/1614902400
Bulk for Scorching Flames Bonk Boy
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049469629#!/compare/1614902400/1614988800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077555267#!/compare/1614902400/1614988800
Bulk for Bonzo The All-Gnawing Reggaelator
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077555267#!/compare/1620432000/1620518400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1620432000/1620518400
Added:
Scorching Flames Brigade Helm - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60a68df723b0133c192db0a7 - 100 keys
for
Arcana Tam O' Shanter - https://pastebin.com/bkMFf70j - no minis, buyers were 169 keys - buyers are now at 311 keys from Rubi
Spellbound Bonk Leadwear - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60a69a917eb7697a540819d8 - 375 keys
Frozen Icefall Globetrotter - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31090;5;u135, Mar 17th - $119.99 / $2.19 = 54.79 keys, taking 55 keys as a mini
20 keys
Buyers at the time:
169 + 375 + 55 + 20 = 619 keys
Buyers now:
311 + 375 + 55 + 20 = 761 keys
https://gladiator.tf/listings/60975b49fd367b226a76cd20 - 750 key buyout
Drifta says he has a potential 400 pure c/o. It's not really much but if it were to sell for that much, then this sale would end up capping very easily at 750 keys
Taking sale as 750 keys using current Tam buyers I guess.
Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1621036800/1621123200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860735519#!/compare/1621036800/1621123200
Sold for:
Anti-Freeze Killer Exclusive - has sales all over the place from, 460, 470, 530, 720, 435, 570. Probably could take a mini value as 460 - 570 keys I suppose [Pastebin - https://pastebin.com/sTty8UhE]
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60a7a0c225ea47240e3c3028 - Lemons finished it up, mean is 502.5 keys
Static Mist Taunt: The High Five! - buyers 14 keys
103 keys
502.5 + 14 + 103 = 619.5 keys
https://gladiator.tf/listings/60a0e6e7260bdcd9760fc44a - 700 key buyout
Taking as 620 keys
Sales
495, 750, 620
So 750 resells for 620.
Buyers are above 495.
Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh.
500 - 620 it is
Thanks Justin:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860735519#!/compare/1621814400/1621900800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189534714#!/compare/1621814400/1621900800
bulk for spelled cmoon veil
Thanks wxsp:
https://gyazo.com/b581905d8ab82300623f6d7c283a9b38
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189534714#!/compare/1621900800/1621987200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089478585#!/compare/1621900800/1621987200
Trade links, sold for:
PE Mask of the Shaman - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60a453057f2a0325fd0d51bf - recent at 690
GE Reggae
Strange Spec KS Original
70 keys
https://gladiator.tf/listings/60ae61fa2ec81c4fbd3c3719 - 700 key buyout
Yeah this caps
So now, sales at 500, 750, 620 and 700.
Gonna ask mods about this
And mods say go 500 – 700 because the PE Mask is probably high
I get the PE Mask is high but that sale already capped at 700 buyout or else it would have been like 800-900 so that sale is as good as it caps. 750 is being excluded here. 500 isn’t being excluded even though buy orders are now 52 keys above it and may continue to rise also its 120 keys lower than the second lowest sale. Unfair to exclude highest but not lowest especially with buy orders way above the lowest. And why is the highest even being excluded to begin with?
I agree with Braxol here, 500 seems far too low currently, it's quite a distance from the other data points also. Plus excluding 750 from the high-end and excluding 500 from the low-end would keep the range even excluding 1 outlier from each end
Buy orders 577 and still potentially rising, getting close to 600 which is the middle of 500-700, so if this gets accepted it could potentially be priced at the same price buy orders might be at if they go up another 13 keys, lol what if they go up another 14 keys, buy orders would then be more than what the suggestion would be at.
*23 / *24
I'll wait for a mod, thanks for the concern
Buy orders 585 and 600 (negotiable, so more than 600 actually). So if this gets accepted with the low sale which looks like an outlier, this would be priced below buy orders now.
Above 580 now
https://backpack.tf/item/777367381 ~ two more sales here, I’ll try to take a look later, just note that’s the rack that sold for the 500 keys that got resold twice just recently
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1623888000/1624233600 ~ 700 keys
Two buy orders above 600 keys now, one being negotiable
Buy orders 610 and still possibly rising, that's higher than the midpoint of this suggestion which the one low sale is causing that (outlier)
https://imgur.com/a/IfbNWDE - 1 unsold at 675 keys for nearly 10 days
1 unsold at 700 keys for over 5 months.
Only 3 buyers above 600 now and all bot buyers dropped to below 600 keys.
700 is definitely too high here.
https://backpack.tf/item/204431438 - 675 history
https://backpack.tf/item/1072842045 - 700 history
What are you talking about? Buyer at 650 and one at 630 lol
Also one sold for 700 pure after the suggestion
So the sales are 500, 620, 700, 700, 750. I don’t see how 700 is high.
A clean unsold asking for 700 for over 5 months.
Another seller at 675 keys still struggling after 10 days, still unsold.
Both of these should have sold already, or at least the 700 one should have. Very weird that they haven't and act as a sort of counter to the suggested high-end.
There was a sale for 700 pure after the suggestion was made. The person who chose which seller had the decision to choose someone who had been trying to sell for 5 months or someone who was trying to sell for a week or two.
A seller at 675 keys selling for 10 days unsold, these are expensive items why do you have judgment over what take a while or not to sell. No one really can, no one knows how much money comes into the game and goes out. A sale at 700 pure is a sale. Again the sales are 500, 620, 700, 700, 750. 750 is being excluded. Two sales at 700, 500 is 200 keys under those. 620 80 keys less. If anything the 500 is super low especially with buyers at 650 and 630. What’s your point with trying to say 700 is high to begin with? Are you trying to make the range 500-620? Lol below buy orders.
The 675 sold
New sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040190735#!/compare/1626566400/1626912000
Based on all I see here I would go 620-700 for now