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Taking 2 sales (one of them was me buying). Both sold for 8 keys.
Current sell orders are 10-12 keys but have been up for a while
Sale 1:
Item history:
https://backpack.tf/item/9316038677
Proof of sale:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972404012#!/compare/1614556800/1614643200
Sale 2:
Item history:
https://backpack.tf/item/6810337160
Proof it went into my inventory:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248209800#!/compare/1617494400/1617580800
Proof I payed 8 keys:
https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/1761450508689495511/9BC0649FD930F43B9FD9D89236D4A833545B5D27/
8 + 8 / 2 = 8
More sales in these histories that will need to be included:
https://backpack.tf/item/9312488047
https://backpack.tf/item/6477882448
Well I tried to look into the histories of each account.
First link: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239172686#!/compare/1617494400/1617580800 you can't really get anything specific from this. Like, no pure, no item for item even.
Second link: I actually contacted the trader. He said he's selling the item for a friend of his like a "middle man". If you look at the comparison https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075991823#!/compare/1621123200/1621209600 there is also nothing clear and distinct.
The only two distinct trades are the ones I presented
Also, another comparison for the first link:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102717827#!/compare/1617235200/1617321600
It seems like the highest price here was 3 keys, but thats lower than buy orders