Buyer creep

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/240555059

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1617494400/1617580800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087543005#!/compare/1617494400/1617580800

It would appear that:

Smoking Surgeon's Stahlhelm - https://gladiator.tf/listings/606b2c65b78119b44f29aa59 - buyers 9 keys 14 ref at the time

Steaming Lucky Shot - https://gladiator.tf/listings/606b69e1f9438cb9b2fb8f6d - buyers 10 keys 3.44 ref at the time

Smoking Screamin' Eagle - https://gladiator.tf/listings/606b5518088d84b9c8520ad1 - buyers at 11 keys at the time

Blizzardy Storm German Gonzila - https://gladiator.tf/listings/606b662c1d5d15b9bd8ae3e0 - buyers 15 keys 26.11 ref at the time

All match

9 + 10 + 11 + 15 = 45 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/606ae8468d7faab03b1a4ceb - 45 key buyout

Caps at 45 keys

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/272841407

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238170280#!/compare/1614729600/1615075200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046064612#!/compare/1614297600/1614816000

Untrace

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046064612#!/compare/1614297600/1614816000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198091931#!/compare/1614729600/1614816000

Untrace

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198091931#!/compare/1614816000/1615248000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396499936#!/compare/1615075200/1615161600

Bulk

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396499936#!/compare/1617321600/1617494400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192867202#!/compare/1617321600/1617408000

Untrace kinda

Stuff got traded quickly

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192867202#!/compare/1617408000/1617580800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099685235#!/compare/1617408000/1617580800

Spider's Cluster War Paint (Battle Scarred) matches

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099685235#!/compare/1621036800/1621123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1621036800/1621123200

Untrace

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/323;5;u10

Apr 4th - $83.99 / $2.14 = 39.25 keys

Sales

45, 39

https://gladiator.tf/listings/606a3de402dd4faafea32b04 - given buyers at the time of the MP sale were ~36.5 keys

I'm going to run with 39 - 45 keys, there are 2 other sales here that should have been 40 keys+, Jesus Christ's sale and the more recent dump to qs.store

Thanks Mals:

Buy orders above high-end now:

https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/German%20Gonzila/Tradable/Craftable/10

Sale at 62:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1621555200/1621641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097816819#!/compare/1621555200/1621641600

Doesn't show on buyer's end but a lot of the clump of 62 have the buyer in their history, probably quicksold hats to bots / Erik then bought the PE.

Thanks Blaze:

so buyers have creeped up to 49 keys and we also have a new sale at 62 keys but it seems a bit off to go 62 flat for this.

i think 45 - 62 will work here taking the lower sales into account.

Doing that