A burning sensation

Gladiator stats:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Burning%20Flames%20Elf%20Care%20Provider

Link of timestamp at time of suggestion:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Burning%20Flames%20Elf%20Care%20Provider&at=2021-06-22T15:18:28.350Z

1 sale in the past 30 days:

-bought-

1 @ 28 keys 5 ref

marketplace tf:

https://marketplace.tf/browse/all?sterm=elf+care+provider

no listings

mannco store:

https://mannco.store/item/440-burning-flames-unusual-elf-care-provider

no sales

backpack tf trades:

-Item 1-

https://backpack.tf/item/10157743594

-Trade 1-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102199351#!/compare/1621814400/1621987200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101961806#!/compare/1621900800/1622073600 // seller

Untraceable in buyers bp, traceable in sellers. Unclear.

-Item 2-

https://backpack.tf/item/10105186850

-Trade 1-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198836130168#!/compare/1623110400/1623715200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040073503#!/compare/1623196800/1623283200

Deposit into mannco bot

-Trade 2-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040073503#!/compare/1620432000/1620604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109624821#!/compare/1620432000/1620777600 // seller

Traceable in sellers bp, not in buyers. Unclear

-Item 3-

https://backpack.tf/item/9997076748

Strange elf care

-Item 4-

https://backpack.tf/item/9836598034

-Trade 1-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287590881#!/compare/1624060800/1624233600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026590878#!/compare/1623715200/1624320000 // seller

This is a weird one. In buyers, the item shows as obtained together with a few other unusuals. But in the sellers bp, it is clearly 44 Keys.

Using 44 Keys for this one. In buyers bp, it looks like a bulk sale for Amaranthine Cloud Crasher but there is no way the 4 unusuals add up.

-Trade 2-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026590878#!/compare/1623024000/1623369600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197729211#!/compare/1623283200/1623369600 // seller

In buyers, item shows as obtained together with a bunch of ref and hats. But in sellers bp, it is clearer as 36 Keys - about 38 Ref. Concidering current Key price, 38ish Ref would be over half, so rounding up to 36 Keys is valid.

Using 36 Keys for this one.

-Trade 3-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197729211#!/compare/1623196800/1623283200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135387728#!/compare/1623024000/1623196800 // seller

Unclear

-Trade 4-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135387728#!/compare/1623024000/1623196800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198833356111#!/compare/1622592000/1623628800

Removed from mannco bot.

-Trade 5-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198833356111#!/compare/1621296000/1621987200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043059273#!/compare/1621728000/1621814400 // seller

In sellers bp it looks like 19.5 Keys, but buyers is unclear. Very low. It's also a "sale" to mannco bot so.. ignoring this trade.

-Trade 6-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043059273#!/compare/1620432000/1620604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052694464#!/compare/1620432000/1620604800 // seller

Unclear in sellers, but in buyers it's clear as 40 Keys

Classifieds:

https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Elf+Care+Provider&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&particle=13&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0

Sellers at 38 - 50

Buyers anywhere between 4 - 29 Keys

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Because of classies, 36 - 44 Keys is the best range.