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Update!
Sale: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1114;5;u3035 - 29.99/1.94 = ~15
https://backpack.tf/item/8365101235
Classies: https://i.imgur.com/WoADS7X.png. 15 flat.
Sold for 7.5 keys after being unsold at <13 for all eternity
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198400462105#!/compare/1623888000/1624147200
https://gladiator.tf/listings/60cf2eadd279fc997307dbe3
https://gladiator.tf/listings/60b27c1f532160ff8581a4ed
https://gladiator.tf/listings/608db59735e403574e1444a2
...
https://gladiator.tf/listings/6050f98ac88256ec8e1fa6e9
The mp.tf sale is clearly high and not representative of the market. 7.5 flat will do, buyers only raised recently and are not enough to stop this from dropping.