And so it begins

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/10277328785

Sale 1

Listed on Mannco

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/7979266508

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1620950400/1621036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140976261#!/compare/1621036800/1622073600

KAW BOA matches, some bulky item offer with qs.store, excluding since it was bulk

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140976261#!/compare/1622160000/1622419200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1622332800/1622419200

Untrace

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/7975190143

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198364924060#!/compare/1618963200/1619568000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132627345#!/compare/1619395200/1619568000

Untrace

Sale 5

Withdrawn and deposited on Marketplace

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/6965030870

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353098481#!/compare/1616284800/1617148800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274436164#!/compare/1616889600/1617148800

12 keys 20 ref match histories

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60645ca0e4187d47980b6315 - buyers were sort of around that at the time

Taking as 12 keys

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274436164#!/compare/1616889600/1617148800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198293546896#!/compare/1617062400/1617148800

16 keys match

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6064e4e95111495aeabe691a - buyout 20 keys

Taking as 16 keys

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198293546896#!/compare/1617235200/1617321600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259520701#!/compare/1617235200/1617321600

Added:

1.5 keys in adds

for

Green Confetti Modest Pile of Hat - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60dac14daab3b5752935f2bd - 14.5 keys

14.5 - 1.5 = 13 keys

Taking as 13 keys

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259520701#!/compare/1617408000/1617494400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195734346#!/compare/1617408000/1617494400

Untrace

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195734346#!/compare/1617580800/1617667200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263306803#!/compare/1618272000/1620518400

Untrace, probably MP

Sale 11

Gambled then tradeit

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30307;5;u32

Apr 30th - $39.99 / $2.01 = 19.90 keys

Item 5 Hidden history

https://backpack.tf/item/7109799148

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279054593#!/compare/1619913600/1620000000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1619827200/1619913600

5.11 ref matches

https://gladiator.tf/listings/608f03f8b9700245af078f15 - 13 keys 5.55 ref buy order

Taking as 13 keys here

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1624320000/1624406400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280524116#!/compare/1624320000/1624406400

0.66 ref matches

Sales

12

16

13

20

13

Understandably, 16 pure did dump for less, but it was items so I can't completely discount the 13 key sale

Taking 13 flat here, 16 did dump for less, and 20 is just downright wrong and far too high.

Excluding 12 for being consistently under buy orders.

13