Price update!

Histories with in-date sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/10185289246 -> 1 sale

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199146692113#!/compare/1621123200/1621209600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040073503#!/compare/1621123200/1621209600

183k pure - below current buyers and was only 2-3k above buyers at time -> https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048724906#!/compare/1625356800/1625443200

Exclude as likely low

https://backpack.tf/item/9769637593 -> several sales

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1621209600/1621296000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085304366#!/compare/1621209600/1621296000

Sold for 199k 31 ref (~200k) - matches STN buyout -> https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Burning+Flames+Hat+With+No+Name

Below buyers

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085304366#!/compare/1622764800/1622937600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116807536#!/compare/1621987200/1623628800

Looks like 230k but the keys dont match? Fairly likely it did sell for this - matches buyout ->https://gladiator.tf/listings/60b9915db3e9571193f935e4

230k here

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116807536#!/compare/1625011200/1625443200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048724906#!/compare/1625356800/1625443200

Bulk for Bonzo dread riding hood

Sale #4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048724906#!/compare/1625875200/1625961600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023154147#!/compare/1625788800/1625875200

Looks like it sold for 307k + unpriced spooky night killer solo - taunt sold to bot straight after for b.o as shown in item history (~11.77k = 12k)

Buyout here was 325k -> https://gladiator.tf/listings/60e91201157609d8ad9c629d

Total sale = 307 + 12 = 319k

https://backpack.tf/item/8628654048 -> 1 sale

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1619740800/1619827200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032577838#!/compare/1619568000/1619827200

Seller shows 225k - buyer shows 120k (sort of)

Buyout 230k -> https://gladiator.tf/listings/608a0db93347cf8c13e7542a

Taking it as 225k here

https://backpack.tf/item/8539155435 -> few sales

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1619222400/1619308800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154385105#!/compare/1619222400/1619308800

Seller shows 223k - buyer doesnt show as much

Buyout was 223k -> https://gladiator.tf/listings/608494b418ae24c3cc2448e9

Taking 223k here

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154385105#!/compare/1619308800/1619481600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154344385#!/compare/1618704000/1619481600

Untrace

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154344385#!/compare/1622073600/1622332800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197987851156#!/compare/1622246400/1622419200

Untrace? Buyer shows lots of keys being removed but nothing matching, seller shows nothing either

https://backpack.tf/item/5440775934 -> few sales

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198236424352#!/compare/1624147200/1624233600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860735519#!/compare/1624147200/1624233600

Sold for 210k - 7k above buyers at time of sale but now below current buyers

Buyout 260k -> https://gladiator.tf/listings/60cfd4e4a36e6da562b129e7

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860735519#!/compare/1624406400/1624492800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994079316#!/compare/1624320000/1624492800

Bulk for demonflame reggae

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994079316#!/compare/1624752000/1624838400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283787257#!/compare/1624838400/1624924800

Sold for 240k

Buyout 250k -> https://gladiator.tf/listings/60d7e006ce9ae553051ea320

Nothing here: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/631;5;u13

Total usable sales @

230k

319k

225k

223k

240k

Excluding any low sales/sales at/below buyers - buyers up to 217k

No listed sellers on backpack

Listed seller on mannco.store for $500 which looks like it has been listed there since late May -> https://mannco.store/item/440-burning-flames-unusual-hat-with-no-name

$500 / 1.76 = 284k (likely what it was listed at, at time of listing)

Based off this unsold, calling the 319k sale high here

Leaves us with:

223k

225k

230k

240k

Lets go with a range of 223-240k