Help I'm being forced at gunpoint, Beaser has a gun to my head please send help

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/4833331484

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129552058#!/compare/1619568000/1619654400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198804015732#!/compare/1619481600/1619654400

https://imgur.com/a/VHoyDW5

https://backpack.tf/item/4833331484

https://gyazo.com/8cdb4763ed657fb95aeeed604ff809cd

$2275 paypal, keys were taken at 1.75 to get 1300

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198804015732#!/compare/1620777600/1621296000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198410760897#!/compare/1621209600/1621296000

https://gyazo.com/aec5eb3ea303b3f76fd6ba0956b071e2

Sold for:

Purple Energy Blighted Beak - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60e361804d069068cc7f1273 - 480 keys

DUPED Stormy 13th Hour Vintage Tyrolean - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/608c7f24d55d3b4d5a0ebc19 - 200 keys indate

Strange Professional Killstreak Festive Ubersaw - https://gladiator.tf/listings/60a428311a07008614d04096 - 9 keys 47.44 ref

Exo and PP Strange Specialized Killstreak Black Box - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199080033728#!/compare/1624147200/1624233600 - 9 keys 5 ref

Circling Heart Killer's Kabuto - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6082eb5c4d312e025203ac62 - indate at 47.5 keys

Chiroptera Venenata Texas Ten Gallon - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60ac52f95bfb5c06d647435e - 350 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Festive Crusader's Crossbow - https://gladiator.tf/listings/60a426da3a423d87e819aa0f - 19 keys 11.77 ref

Strange Specialized Killstreak Loose Cannon - https://gladiator.tf/listings/60a3bcbec118012c0a66a4eb - 8 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Psychedelic Slugger Revolver (Factory New) - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60e36f14806d315c890cecbf - 31 keys

Strange Killstreak Nutcracker Mk.II Panic Attack (Factory New)

Strange Specialized Killstreak Sweet Dreams Stickybomb Launcher (Factory New) - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60e36ae2df2bc4683421248c - 30 keys

Strange High Roller's SMG (Minimal Wear) - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60e370376ec758570d0ad4cf - 35 keys

Strange Isotope Specialized Killstreak Snowflake Swirled Medi Gun (Minimal Wear) - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60ae5cbab102bc7d0422b456 - 125 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Wrench - https://gladiator.tf/listings/60a42d2510cff086897a3734 - 54 keys 36.11 ref

Strange Killstreak Frosty Delivery Minigun (Factory New) - no usable sales

Strange Professional Killstreak Jazzy Shotgun (Factory New) - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60d8a5e0806fd0130064467a - indate 150 keys

Blizzardy Storm Herald's Helm - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60e375af8ac6315d4651882a - 45 keys

Sunbeams Stainless Pot - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60e990581fc7a022931041a8 - 97.5 keys

Isotope Specialized Killstreak Warhawk Grenade Launcher (Minimal Wear) - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60e62abafa9dfb151d395a86 - 79 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher - https://gladiator.tf/listings/60a43164728538880619d116 - 75 keys 43.77 ref

Keys:

480 + 200 + 9 + 9 + 47.5 + 350 + 19 + 8 + 31 + 30 + 35 + 125 + 54 + 150 + 45 + 97.5 + 79 + 75 = 1844 keys

Ref:

47.44 + 5 + 11.77 + 36.11 + 43.77 = 144.09 ref

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60a443d3b75f6e9b384557bd - keys 57.88 ref

144.09 / 57.88 = 2.49 keys

Total:

1844 + 2.49 = 1846.49 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/609c1035e9c79916eac6c62b - 2000 key buyout

Taking sale as 1850 keys, I missed out some stuff I could not mini

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198410760897#!/compare/1624147200/1624233600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1624147200/1624233600

Sold for:

Harvest Moon Pyromancer's Mask - no mini, rip - 750 key buyer

Aromatica Head of Defense

Pyroland Daydream Crack Pot

Pumpkin Party Prehistoric Pullover

Morning Glory Soldered Sensei - 250 each

Morning Glory Soldered Sensei

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/3593214510

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993708178#!/compare/1619222400/1619308800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1619222400/1619308800

Sold for:

Disco Beat Down Antlers - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60e734d10083e338be691d4a - 865 keys, thanks Lemons

Arcana Feathered Fiend - indate at 400

Prismatica California Cap - indate at 51.5 keys at the time

Max's Severed Head - https://gladiator.tf/listings/6085cc0606c4c9ed18fd32f0 - 33 keys 21.33 ref

Robin Walkers - https://gladiator.tf/listings/6085ca531564beebbfec7214 - 2 keys 17.66 ref

Exo + PP Strange Professional Killstreak Gold Botkiller Stickybomb Launcher Mk.I - https://pastebin.com/9HnFxUKx - 25 keys

25 keys

865 + 400 + 51.5 + 33 + 2 + 25 + 25 + 0.5 (ref) = 1402 keys

Taking as 1400 keys

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1619222400/1619308800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116002030#!/compare/1619222400/1619308800

Sold for:

DUPED Cloudy Moon Soldier's Stash - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/608b15a5b2537853812eee45 - see Foamy comment, 520 yeet

DUPED Kill-a-Watt Specialized Killstreak Virtual Viewfinder - https://pastebin.com/k6vEndTC - 350 keys

Arcana Company Man - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/608dac0d238f6921fb01f9cf - 625 keys indate at the time of this sale

520 + 350 + 625 = 1495 keys

Taking as 1495 keys

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116002030#!/compare/1621382400/1621468800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189534714#!/compare/1621382400/1621468800

Bulk for IASTE VVF

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189534714#!/compare/1621382400/1621468800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044082175#!/compare/1621296000/1621468800

Sold for:

Disco Beat Down Antlers - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60ecd0c50e46cb1a46652b16 - indate at 840 keys

Circling Heart Blighted Beak - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60f4b66fb9e4e57d95641b93 - 340 keys

Cloud 9 Crone's Dome - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6085f958d2f3e640d077b679 - 98 keys

Stormy 13th Hour Backwards Ballcap - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60995c9b90537c2149186a70 - indate at 325 keys

840 + 340 + 98 + 325 = 1603 keys

Taking sale as 1603 keys

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044082175#!/compare/1623283200/1623456000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077555267#!/compare/1623369600/1623456000

Added:

Death at Dusk Dr's Dapper Topper - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60f8ad4920bdde7f544ef0b3 - 192 keys

Eerie Lightning Taunt: The High Five! - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60f5fcc7f20c53065876bdf2 - 18 keys

for

Spellbound Reggaelator - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60f89f4a2d7d07324c719fa6 - 945 keys

Arcana Glengarry Bonnet - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60f8a9617b21af45f86bd448 - 490 keys

945 + 490 - (192 + 18) = 1225 keys

Taking sale as 1225 keys here

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077555267#!/compare/1625184000/1625270400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1625097600/1625270400

Sold for:

1200 keys

Something Burning This Way Comes Scotsman's Stove Pipe - no mini, probably fits in range

https://app.snapshots.tf/snapshot/60deed5df6fcea985a55682a - 2500 key buyout

Sales

1300

1850

1400

1495

1603

1225

Sales go:

1300 >> 1850 >> some weird downgrade that I don't think can beat 1850 lol

1850 feels like a bit of an outlier here

Sales also go:

1400 >> 1495 >> 1603 >> 1225

Given the 1603 dumped for significantly lower in items, I am inclined to exclude it

Potential range of 1250 - 1500?

Mod pointers:

Foamy said if I include 1250, then there's no reason to exclude 1600

If I were to round to nearest 100 keys (not the guidelines), then range is either 1200 - 1600, or excluding those 2 and 1300 - 1500 keys

I think given the wider spatter of trades and especially considering the sbtwc stove + 1200 sale, better to go with the bigger range here

I think 1200 - 1600 looks prettier, sue me :D