All credit to Scourge

Raising with dupes, cleans are dead still

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082864462#!/compare/1624060800/1624147200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198803307242#!/compare/1624665600/1624752000

Sold for 26 keys

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198803307242#!/compare/1625356800/1625443200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141505774#!/compare/1625356800/1625443200

Bulk

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141505774#!/compare/1625875200/1625961600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186718459#!/compare/1625875200/1625961600

4 keys in a group of 49 ID match...

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186718459#!/compare/1625875200/1625961600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331433100#!/compare/1625875200/1625961600

Untrace / bulk

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331433100#!/compare/1625961600/1626048000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253292758#!/compare/1625788800/1625961600

Untrace / bulky

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253292758#!/compare/1625961600/1626048000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336605191#!/compare/1625961600/1626048000

Untrace

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1623715200/1623801600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199120708916#!/compare/1623628800/1624060800

Sold for 9 keys + ggfp bill's hat

Bill's Mini:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309178418#!/compare/1622592000/1622678400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200470179#!/compare/1622678400/1622764800

Sold for 4 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200470179#!/compare/1623196800/1623283200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199120708916#!/compare/1623196800/1623542400

Untrace...

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217262439#!/compare/1620691200/1621641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198984848651#!/compare/1621555200/1621641600

Sold for ~12 keys in sweets

nothing conclusive, would end up under 25 key buyers anyway.

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199120708916#!/compare/1624060800/1624147200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1623974400/1624060800

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60ce14ee41a11383c4f67908

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60cdb15d7a0fb0841d3bcbf5

sold to buy order for ~24 keys to Rubi.....

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1624060800/1624147200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280524116#!/compare/1624060800/1624147200

https://gladiator.tf/listings/60cf1df02cca2f98c86f9d03

Sold for 22 keys

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141054773#!/compare/1623196800/1623283200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105484257#!/compare/1623196800/1623283200

Sold for 25 keys

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1622678400/1622764800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059836930#!/compare/1622678400/1622764800

Bulky stn sale.

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059836930#!/compare/1624579200/1624752000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340099089#!/compare/1624492800/1624579200

Bulk QS to bot

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199077318539#!/compare/1625443200/1625529600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102407070#!/compare/1625443200/1625529600

QS

1 mptf sale

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/181;5;u37

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198215813163#!/compare/1626393600/1626566400

https://backpack.tf/item/1243775812

$49.99 on 7/18

$49.99 / $1.81 = 27.62 keys

Sales at

22, 24, 25, 26, ~28 keys

MPTF seller for 49.99 / 1.81 = 27.62 keys,

buyers for ~25 keys,

sellers for ~29 keys.

given MPTf seller, unsold for at least 4 days: https://i.imgur.com/d6DSUGb.png

and likely much longer, given it left pyro's inv Jun 21st,

given 24 resold for lower (even if likely do to a too high buy order),

and amount of lower sales,

taking 25 - 26 keys.