https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60fc8cde360a5e068e2adf9f Counter to this suggestion

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Spectrum%20Splattered%20Scattergun%20%28Factory%20New%29

["Apr 26 2021 01: +0",50.782,"1"] = 21 keys

["May 08 2021 01: +0",54.45,"1"] = 22 keys

["May 17 2021 01: +0",39.99,"1"] = 16 keys

["Jun 21 2021 01: +0",45.001,"1"] = 19 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069239963#!/compare/1621036800/1621123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176553495#!/compare/1624147200/1624233600

Seems to be the June 21 SCM sale, then a festivizer was applied (and then later removed...?)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198822668821#!/compare/1619481600/1620345600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083609920#!/compare/1618617600/1621641600

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076061300#!/compare/1625184000/1625443200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076061300#!/compare/1625184000/1625443200

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142513689#!/compare/1625443200/1625529600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337378097#!/compare/1625443200/1625529600

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337378097#!/compare/1625875200/1626048000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064658655#!/compare/1625961600/1626048000

https://gyazo.com/1ed1bf476349bdc4a6461c88268d3bf3

I bought it alongside the shot to hell scattergun (it was listed at 3) for 18 keys

Taking this as 15 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/200;15;w1;pk257

https://backpack.tf/item/9739674392

$34.99 / $1.81 = 19.33 keys

Sales

15

16

19

19

21

22

https://gyazo.com/12230962fd220184c7e42c6f77793b65

Almost 2 weeks at 19

21-22 are on the older end of sales anyways, going with 15-19 keys