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~66 keys
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Unusual Winter Woodsman Green Energy
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MP sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30549;5;u9

$159.99/2=80k (at sellers)

$180/1.9=94.7k (above sellers)

https://backpack.tf/item/9169451745


Can't find this sale: https://backpack.tf/item/9169451745

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052246353#!/compare/1622160000/1623456000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066311459#!/compare/1623024000/1623283200

Now listed on MP for $199.99: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30549;5;u9


44k + 30ref + ..signs: https://backpack.tf/item/8354297979

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066433371#!/compare/1623801600/1624492800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039834209#!/compare/1624320000/1624492800

Dunno how to value the objectors exactly, but just at base value 197 x 3.66 = ~721ref = ~11.69k ^_^ - so taking that as about 12k. Total is 57-58k which is probably low considering buy orders, so just excluding this sale completely for those reasons (this sale could have a usable value, but the valuing of decaled signs here is too uncertain).


Untrace here, but most likely sold for ~75k: https://gladiator.tf/listings/60f4e6dd6c660a0dc0027350

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1626566400/1626739200


Only 43k traceable, seems low/incomplete:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141455733#!/compare/1626134400/1626307200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148398690#!/compare/1626134400/1626307200


Untrace:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148398690#!/compare/1626393600/1627430400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198844438037#!/compare/1626480000/1627084800


Woodsman + Magnetic Hat Protector Universal Translator potentially sold for 72k:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1627084800/1627171200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198844438037#!/compare/1627084800/1627171200

Given buy orders for the UT at 18k, this sale seems low, excluding.


Looks like 69k 30ref:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1627171200/1627430400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199066831021#!/compare/1626998400/1627430400

In line with current buy orders.


Sold for TW Cone (9-12) + DBD Nano (11.5, in-date) + TW Gilded (11-12) + PE Shutterbug (23.5-31) + 8k + secret saxton:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199066831021#!/compare/1627430400/1627516800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275783474#!/compare/1627430400/1627603200

This sale would require a few minis, but just approximating with current buy and sell orders, the sale would fall between 63k (below buyers) and 75k, which is in range.


Woodsman + Strange Swagman and S. Lurkers (3.25k in sweets) for DBD Nobel Nickel + Sunbeams Toy Soldier + Haunted Chicken Kiev + 8k (QS.store bot):

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199024444191#!/compare/1626998400/1627171200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1626998400/1627171200

Taking buy orders: x + 3.3 = 17.7 + 39.9 + 20.1 + 8, woodsman = 82.4k

This is higher than several 80k sellers, excluding - however, this supports the 80k high end.


Snapshot and buyer's compare suggests 75k: https://gladiator.tf/listings/60fdd365fe97483feeeb9c49

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069014271#!/compare/1627084800/1627430400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1627171200/1627430400


Untrace/looks like it would be low:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199039349282#!/compare/1627862400/1627948800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069014271#!/compare/1627603200/1627948800


Not really traceable on buyer's side, but looks like Woodsman + over 10k in sweets for GE Executioner:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199039349282#!/compare/1627948800/1628035200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1627862400/1628035200

Lowest seller for executioner at 88k, so seems like cap for this sale is 78, which is under the upper bound of 80.


Looks like GE Attendant + 28k:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1627948800/1628035200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296967233#!/compare/1627948800/1628035200

76k leaves buyer's side, and the Attendant was bought for 48k: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200696439#!/compare/1627862400/1628035200. Valuing this sale at 76k.


Majority of sales here all fall within the range of the lowest sale, ~69k (matching buy orders), and 80k (matching current sellers). Higher sales are countered. Taking those as range.