Thanks to Shuffle Spy for sales:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092651884#!/compare/1621036800/1621123200 - Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101062081#!/compare/1620518400/1620604800 - 129 Keys + GE Cotton Head

Cotton indate at 79.5: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60f0a13574a4ab2d697facd7

Sale = 208.5k

Sold for PE Batter's Helm + GE Winter Woodsman + 56k: https://backpack.tf/item/1009672374

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198318065526#!/compare/1621555200/1621814400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135471163#!/compare/1621641600/1621814400

Taking 53.5k for PE Batter's Helm from my suggestion here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61109c0a17a8177714476769

Taking 74.5k for GE Winter Woodsman from my suggestion here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6111273fab34301a581d5532

53.5 + 74.5 + 56 = 184, B/O at 220k so no cap: https://gladiator.tf/listings/60a8d62bd8a58635db0eea04

Excluding spelled sale at ~232k: https://backpack.tf/item/934823489

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093892890#!/compare/1620172800/1621555200

Taking 184-209k as range.