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History 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/1648108699
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1624320000/1624406400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280524116#!/compare/1624320000/1624406400
16 keys match
Sale 2:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/403;5;u68
$38.99 / $1.88 = 20.74 keys -> rounding to 21 keys
Sales:
16, 21
No other sales and the others haven't moved in years. Taking 16-21 I guess.