I like Discos

Get down and boogie

Sellers: - https://gyazo.com/1429af41848e08ebde1d4e8820018ac2

https://backpack.tf/item/2092158878 - young @ 21 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/10033227347 - young @ 23 keys

Sale 1)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1624233600/1624320000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254768539#!/compare/1624147200/1624320000 - Sold for 18 keys

Sale 2)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1623542400/1623628800 - Sod via a buy order, likely for ~17 keys https://gladiator.tf/listings/60caedc5c4f0f26d248e576e

Sale 3)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1627171200/1627257600 - SCM

Sale 4)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280524116#!/compare/1626220800/1626307200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029074524#!/compare/1626220800/1626307200 - Bulk

Sale 5)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1626220800/1626307200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280524116#!/compare/1626134400/1626220800 - Sold with 121 ref for 10 keys, seems incomplete

Sale 6)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1625184000/1625270400

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/338367455791546368/875761376243646494/unknown.png - Sold for 17 keys + 26.44 ref (~0.45 keys) = 17 keys

Note: - https://backpack.tf/item/5381945807 - Excluding bot/owner transfer

Sale 7)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198221677464#!/compare/1625011200/1625097600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101484822#!/compare/1625011200/1625097600

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/338367455791546368/875761302784593970/unknown.png - Sold for 17 keys + 16.44 ref (~0.25 keys) = 17 keys

Sale 8)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198405542961#!/compare/1624060800/1625702400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1624060800/1624147200 - Bulk

Sale 9)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041108750#!/compare/1624492800/1624579200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199068541785#!/compare/1624406400/1624579200 - Sold for 75 keys, was a double spelled version which likely affected the value

Sale 10)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155394135#!/compare/1628380800/1628467200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1628294400/1628380800 - Bulk

Sale 11)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280328449#!/compare/1627257600/1627344000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155394135#!/compare/1627257600/1627344000 - Sold for 19 keys

Sale 12)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049514010#!/compare/1626652800/1626739200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280328449#!/compare/1626652800/1626739200 - Using there to price

Sale 13)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1626566400/1626652800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049514010#!/compare/1626566400/1626652800 - Untrace

Note: - https://backpack.tf/item/2092158878 - Excluding quicksell.store tradebacks

Sale 14)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199094890522#!/compare/1623456000/1623801600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1623715200/1623801600 - Sold for 6 keys, incomplete

Sale 15)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198979140645#!/compare/1623024000/1623801600 - Untrace

Sale 16)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1622332800/1622419200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198979140645#!/compare/1622246400/1622505600 - Bulk

Sales 17 and 18)

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30069;5;u62 - Excluding May 14th as it's close to the 3 month mark

$39.99 / $2.00 = 20 keys

$39.99 / $1.81 = 22 keys

Sales:

17, 17, 17, 18, 19, 20 and 22

Half of the data points here are below current buyers, therefore leaving 17 in the range

22 was the most recent sale so not excluding that

Rolling with a wide range

Thanks =)