Over 3 pages of buyers at 59.66 and 5 pages of sellers at 59.77 ref seems to strongly suggest this is the most commonly traded range.
Taking 59.66-59.77 ref as range.
Looks to be stable at 56.44-56.55 for a day now
Couple pages of classifieds sellers at 59.22 now
Are keys going back down?
They are and they probably will keep going down for some time, because there's no longer that big of a disproportion between creation of new keys and creation of new refs, so inflation is close to zero-ing out.
Market is higher now
yeah it is going up again.
weird.
... basing ourselves on the ref price, shouldn't it be ~74ref per key?
or am I missing something?
Keys are ~$1.6 via cash trades.
ok soooo ~53.33 ref instead
honestly ref should have been priced at 2.5-3 but the suggestion was up for so long it was just accepted as is
I don't follow
ref is priced based on key price in ref and key price in cash, since very few people buy ref with cash. key price in cash was around $1.60-1.70 when the suggestion was accepted, and keys were around 60 ref. 1.6/60 = 2.667 cents 1.7/60 = 2.833 cents. both of these values rounds to 3 cents, since you need to round to the enarest cent for ref. a closer value for ref would be around 2.75 cents, not 3 cents.
actually my bad, the suggestion was accepted since for ref, you have to round to the nearest cent not half cent.
ah ok gotcha
looks like keys have risen back to above 60 ref. this is going to be a bit low now
seems to be 60-60.11 ref as of now
They seem to have slipped down again, oh well
Even so 59.66-59.77 is low, trend range from 59.66 to 60+ atm scrap.tf still buying at 60.
idk at this point, wouldnt be surprised if i woke up to keys being 2 ref
Next up, halloween effects bubble.
Mi bet is that people are trying to do what I've been doing lol, buying and selling keys for 1 scrap earning or so
idk
At this point it's more about refined than scrap, which is a bit worrying, to say the least...
yeah I was winning 1.1 ref the other day
It seems it has stabilized at 56.55-57 ref
I would do the suggestion but gladiator is being a bih
Every time keys look like they're stabilizing, they destabilize again. Keys 100% need a price drop, but the price fluctuation is crazy.
Outdated they are 56 now..
back to 56.44
krazy prices
The range is too high now. Market has 56.77 buyers as top buyers
Looks to be stable at 56.44-56.55 for a day now
Can't say I hold out much hope it'll stay that way
scrap.tf selling at 56.66 and only 14 in stock so that's not bad ig, then also no one is selling to them at 55.22 so only sales are happening with them
I dreamt that keys had gone up to 190 ref. Came as soon as possible to check.
Seeing it go down is better I think
Feel like it’s actually going back up now
why hasn't this suggestion been accepted/denied for nearly 3 weeks now? many other suggestions have been passed...
if its wrong then close it?
Pretty clear this is continuing to fluctuate too much to give us an accurate range. I would close this for now and wait for it to stabilize a little more, as it is clear your suggested price of 59.66-59.77 is not too accurate. It's also possible a range larger than 1 scrap would better capture these fluctuations and provide a better representation of the value
why don't we have automated price adjustment I wonder?
suggestion to lower price = downvote
suggestion to increase price = upvote
we're down to 56.88 and 57 ref now owo
Seems it's converging at 56~57
I can't see (For whatever reason) Gladiator's succesfull trades snapshots, but these are the current listings:
Gladiator.tf (Past 24 hours): https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key&at=2021-08-18T14:14:32.671Z
Sold:
81 @ 59.33 ref
2 @ 59.55 ref
113 @ 59.66 ref
209 @ 59.77 ref
12 @ 59.88 ref
1 @ 61 ref
4 @ 62 ref
Bought:
35 @ 59.55 ref
33 @ 59.66 ref
21 @ 59.77 ref
5 @ 59.88 ref
56 @ 60.66 ref
59.66-59.77 are the most common selling points in the past 24 hours, and is also supported by plenty of sales in the past week.
Scrap.tf (346 in stock): https://scrap.tf/keys
Buying: 59.66 ref
Selling 60.33 ref
Successful buys at 59.66 (low end)
STN.eu (964 in stock): https://stntrading.eu/tf2/keys
Buying: 59.33 ref
Selling: 60 ref
Lower buying price, but other evidence suggests 59.33 is now low.
QS.store (27 in stock): https://quicksell.store/keys
Buying: 59.66 ref
Selling 60.77 ref
Buying price aligns with that of scrap.tf
Prices.tf: https://www.prices.tf/items/5021;6
Most recent snapshot down to 59.77 (high end)
Most recent Gladiator snapshot: https://gladiator.tf/listings/611d16ae1c85eb4cb72a1a1d
Looks promising with only a few listings outside the 59.66-59.77 range.
Current classifieds: https://backpack.tf/classifieds?page=3&item=Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0
Over 3 pages of buyers at 59.66 and 5 pages of sellers at 59.77 ref seems to strongly suggest this is the most commonly traded range.
Taking 59.66-59.77 ref as range.
Couple pages of classifieds sellers at 59.22 now
Are keys going back down?
They are and they probably will keep going down for some time, because there's no longer that big of a disproportion between creation of new keys and creation of new refs, so inflation is close to zero-ing out.
Market is higher now
yeah it is going up again.
weird.
... basing ourselves on the ref price, shouldn't it be ~74ref per key?
or am I missing something?
Keys are ~$1.6 via cash trades.
ok soooo ~53.33 ref instead
honestly ref should have been priced at 2.5-3 but the suggestion was up for so long it was just accepted as is
I don't follow
ref is priced based on key price in ref and key price in cash, since very few people buy ref with cash. key price in cash was around $1.60-1.70 when the suggestion was accepted, and keys were around 60 ref. 1.6/60 = 2.667 cents 1.7/60 = 2.833 cents. both of these values rounds to 3 cents, since you need to round to the enarest cent for ref. a closer value for ref would be around 2.75 cents, not 3 cents.
actually my bad, the suggestion was accepted since for ref, you have to round to the nearest cent not half cent.
ah ok gotcha
looks like keys have risen back to above 60 ref. this is going to be a bit low now
seems to be 60-60.11 ref as of now
They seem to have slipped down again, oh well
Even so 59.66-59.77 is low, trend range from 59.66 to 60+ atm scrap.tf still buying at 60.
They went a bit back down again
B 58.55 S 59.55
https://stntrading.eu/tf2/keys
B 59
https://bazaar.tf/trade/1756089
B 50 S 60
https://bazaar.tf/trade/1356167
B 58.33 S 60
Trade.tf
tbf on trade.tf their prices are always weird
Classies seem to be at 58.66-58.77 ref right now, probs better to wait for it to stabilise since the selling prices seem to be all over the place
You should probably re-suggest this seeing the rage has now changed sellers at 58.11 now
Keys be dropping like crazy, damn
57.77 rip, is there an end to this panic key sell dropping price xd
59.11 now, they seem to be fluctuating a bit weird
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key/Tradable/Craftable
Sellers at 57.55 rn
Sheeesh, what's going on?
idk at this point, wouldnt be surprised if i woke up to keys being 2 ref
Next up, halloween effects bubble.
Mi bet is that people are trying to do what I've been doing lol, buying and selling keys for 1 scrap earning or so
idk
At this point it's more about refined than scrap, which is a bit worrying, to say the least...
yeah I was winning 1.1 ref the other day
It seems it has stabilized at 56.55-57 ref
I would do the suggestion but gladiator is being a bih
Every time keys look like they're stabilizing, they destabilize again. Keys 100% need a price drop, but the price fluctuation is crazy.
Outdated they are 56 now..
back to 56.44
krazy prices
The range is too high now. Market has 56.77 buyers as top buyers
Looks to be stable at 56.44-56.55 for a day now
Can't say I hold out much hope it'll stay that way
scrap.tf selling at 56.66 and only 14 in stock so that's not bad ig, then also no one is selling to them at 55.22 so only sales are happening with them
I dreamt that keys had gone up to 190 ref. Came as soon as possible to check.
Seeing it go down is better I think
Feel like it’s actually going back up now
why hasn't this suggestion been accepted/denied for nearly 3 weeks now? many other suggestions have been passed...
if its wrong then close it?
Pretty clear this is continuing to fluctuate too much to give us an accurate range. I would close this for now and wait for it to stabilize a little more, as it is clear your suggested price of 59.66-59.77 is not too accurate. It's also possible a range larger than 1 scrap would better capture these fluctuations and provide a better representation of the value
why don't we have automated price adjustment I wonder?
suggestion to lower price = downvote
suggestion to increase price = upvote
we're down to 56.88 and 57 ref now owo
Seems it's converging at 56~57
I can't see (For whatever reason) Gladiator's succesfull trades snapshots, but these are the current listings:
https://gladiator.tf/listings/613627d6c0acc1a4f3f52f0e
[SELL]
1@56 — 1@56.55 — 1@56.77 — 9 @56.88 — 20@ 57
[BUY]
5@56.88 — 8@56.77 — 3@56.66
prices.tf: https://www.prices.tf/items/5021;6
The latest snapshots are also from 56 to 57
Trade.tf sells at 56.88 and buys at 56.44. There are still sellers at 60 tho
STNtrading buys at 56.55 and sells at 57.55
Scrap.tf has the worst prices, and no stock rn
[BUY] 55.22 — [SELL] 56.66
This gladiator page loads particularly slowly cus of the large amount of sales, here's a screenshot: https://gyazo.com/fbd3eb5b518f5fca1a5f18ea931d900c
I would say you're seem to be right, just not sure if a 1 ref range is still a bit too wide at this point.
seems like the final price is going to be 56.44 - 56.66 (except for the places that usually buy it for a lot cheaper)
55.77 atm rip