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Only 1 recent sale for $200 Sales start at 76 keys and buyouts start at 70
Proof
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31171;5;u167
You cannot pull your suggested price from nowhere.
1 sold for $200 3 days ago on marketplace, 180/2.5 for keys is ~72 keys if u take out the marketplace fee
If it was on marketplace, you have to go by marketplace key prices.
Also, there's more of these unsold for days-months for 30+ keys less than what you sold it for so this sale is an outlier anyway.
200/1.81 would be 110 keys. That being said, that's not a valid price since there are several unsold for dozens of keys cheaper than that, so that MP sale isn't usable.
https://gladiator.tf/listings/614c81412e3a4402ca16a79e
https://backpack.tf/item/9900994574
https://backpack.tf/item/9745485167
- 2 for sale at 70 keys atm making this high. (also calculations were done incorrectly originally here as mentioned in the comments above)