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Ha Sike!
Histories with in-date sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/9747291162 -> few sales
Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088267184#!/compare/1625875200/1627689600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377165880#!/compare/1627689600/1627776000
Kinda untrace but obtained with keys so possibly traded up here?
Sale #2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377165880#!/compare/1629763200/1629849600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199021571010#!/compare/1629417600/1629763200
Sold for 19k pure
Buyout 19k -> https://gladiator.tf/listings/6122d4cc6d99d52cd6ab522b
https://backpack.tf/item/9497766384 -> 1 sale
Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084857629#!/compare/1624838400/1625788800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850895547#!/compare/1625788800/1625961600
Untrace as to what it sold for...
Nothing here: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31115;5;u30
No sellers on bp or marketplace
Mannco selling one for $40
Taking 19k flat here
Sale 1 on the second history is an SCM sale
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Hazard%20Headgear
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850895547#!/compare/1628985600/1629072000 -> Either the $45 sale or the $30 sale
$45 would roughly support this sugg and the $30 would be well under buyers. This is fine.