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Thanks to Mr.Biggums for sale:
scrap.tf bot just sold one for ~149 keys based on the scrap bots compare, though its untraceable on buyers side so might need to confirm with them
https://backpack.tf/item/10401507593
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1630108800/1630195200
(ID matches keys so looks fine)
Sold at auction a while back for ~125k: https://scrap.tf/auctions/6HZTL0
https://backpack.tf/item/9723549135
(scrap auto-adjusts auction values post so that's why it displays as lower - you can count up the keys in the physical bid)
110k:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995459937#!/compare/1607040000/1627516800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198449321699#!/compare/1627430400/1627516800
Gift bringer could be a sweet but let's just call it 110
Untrace:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198449321699#!/compare/1628467200/1628640000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045518417#!/compare/1628726400/1628812800
Untrace:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1629936000/1630108800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132129628#!/compare/1629936000/1630022400
New buyer up to 111, 110 is pretty close anyway to older buyers so I think it's worth excluding now. Taking 125-149k.
The fuck, the price range was right. The guy himself just admitted he bought it for 115K, + the other sell at 110. Why would you put a 149K max just because a guy tought he was doing a deal by buying this hat for 149 thinking his price was at 264K...
Really I don't know, but this still, the price range should be 110 - 125K, not more than that.
And for the bot, like always it goes up and up, slowly but surely. If the price is 110K it is because the hat is at 264. But I bet that once his price gonna drop, the B/O will too...
I can't verify the 115k sale from compares and I can't just take his word for it without evidence, so I haven't included it here. Can't trace what he sold it for either.
There's also nothing to counter the 149k sale atm, which also in it of itself suggests the 110k sale may be low.