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Let's try this again
fixing an incorrect history comparison, also changing the value to a range as per a recommendation on the previous suggestion
Sale #1
Quicksold to a bot
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199051421034#!/compare/1623456000/1623542400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1623369600/1623456000
seller's history doesn't capture the keys as they turned around and bought a steaming cowl and blizz ze goggles right after selling:
Blizz Ze Goggles appears to have been bought for 15
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1623369600/1623456000
the 15 keys around this one appear to be a likely match https://backpack.tf/item/10286320311
Steaming Cowl appears to have sold for 14
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098694108#!/compare/1623456000/1623542400
the 14 keys around this one appear to be a likely match https://backpack.tf/item/10286333081
one key left in buyers inventory
1 + 14 + 15 = 30 keys
Sale #2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1627084800/1627171200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011887958#!/compare/1627171200/1627862400
31 keys + 30 ref
the keys don't show up on buyer side, on sellers side they match up around https://backpack.tf/item/10458787897
Rounding up to 32 keys
Range would be 30-32, but buy orders are at 32 keys 48.44 ref
https://gladiator.tf/listings/61314d1fcca87f913e1a09ed
Will round that up to 33
Going to use 30-33 as the range
https://gladiator.tf/listings/60fbdd38cbc573a1cf96db70 Sale 2 was actually 35 keys 33.33 ref.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1627084800/1627171200 - Screaming Tiger Breakdance was sold to the bot for a bit over 4 keys, as seen here https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198998834593#!/compare/1627084800/1627171200
Given that sale 1 was to a buy order and is well under buyers now, I would go for 36 flat here.
Also as a side note, you shouldn't round the high end up to buyers if all the sales are under buyers. You can either suggest a range under buyers or wait for more sales to happen before re-pricing it.
Thanks for the cross check on this one. Didn't realize the breakdance was involved in the sale.
And thanks for the note on rounding up to the sellers, I'll keep that in mind for future suggestions.
I'll redo this one at 36 flat.